Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 27

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Referee: Rayda M. (Ukr)


	Kharkiv		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	2.71	3.34	2.54
	3.76	3.25	2.1
	3.2	3.25	2.1
	3.49	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.69)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	2.22 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
29.3%

Draw
28.3%

Vorskla Poltava
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

27.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Vorskla Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vorskla Poltava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vorskla Poltava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kharkiv will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Vorskla will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Mozil O. (G) 30. Bezuglyy M. 32. Imerekov M. 74. Faryna M. 2. Kapinus D. 14. Yusov D. 28. Gabelok A. (C) 40. Obinaiah S. 19. Garmash D. 9. Boryachuk A. 97. Sydorov O.	7. Isenko P. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 4. Perduta I. (C) 44. Khrypchuk D. 29. Batsula A. 38. Chelyadin A. 92. Sissoko S. 50. Kane I. 30. Nesterenko I. 25. Yakubu N. 11. Stepanyuk R.
Substitutes
7. Ari Moura 21. Bychek K. 79. Chyruk A. 17. Kurylo I. 24. Owusu R. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 16. Smitiukh O. 1. Sydorenko D. (G) 6. Vachiberadze B.	65. Codjovi A. 61. Domolega O. (G) 95. Felipe Rodrigues 24. Glushchenko A. 9. Kornienko V. 22. Kovtalyuk M. 5. Lucas Ramires 33. Myakushko S. 6. Sklyar O.
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.	Dolganskyi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Bezuglyy M. ⚽, Gabelok A. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Kane I. ⚽, Stepanyuk R. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Gabelok A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yakubu N. ↓, Kornienko V. ↑,
47', Garmash D. 🟨,
59', Nesterenko I. ↓, Myakushko S. ↑,
59', Chelyadin A. ↓, Sklyar O. ↑,
72', Sydorov O. ↓, Bychek K. ↑,
72', Boryachuk A. ↓, Owusu R. ↑,
75', Kane I. ↓, Felipe Rodrigues ↑,
75', Sissoko S. ↓, Glushchenko A. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Yusov D. (Pen),
81', Yusov D. ↓, Ari Moura ↑,
86', Kornienko V. 🟨,
90+1', Stepanyuk R. 🟨,
90+2', Imerekov M. 🟨,
90+3', Garmash D. ↓, Kurylo I. ↑,
90+3', Gabelok A. ↓, Vachiberadze B. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Stepanyuk R. (Pen),
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 8).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metalist 1925 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalist 1925 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
28.04.24	Kryvbas - Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
22.04.24	Kharkiv - Obolon	1:1 ✺
15.04.24	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTTL
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
29.04.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Vorskla Poltava	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Vorskla Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Vorskla Poltava - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
08.04.24	Kryvbas - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
04.04.24	Polissya Zhytomyr - Vorskla Poltava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
29.10.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kharkiv	2:2
Ukrainian Cup
27.09.23	Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	0:3
Ukrainian Premier League
18.03.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kharkiv	0:0
03.09.22	Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	3:2
20.08.21	Vorskla Poltava - Kharkiv	2:0

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