The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Volna Kovernino 26.2%
Draw 26.6%
Khimik Dzerzhinsk 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.4%
26.6%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
25.9%
47.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Volna Kovernino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Kovernino than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Khimik Dzerzhinsk aligns with the current prediction.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Migunov I. (G) 4. Abramov A. 10. Belyakov I. 2. Chechetkin D. 91. Plesco E. 12. Saygushev V. 88. Shamaev K. 22. Sokolov B. 30. Volkov A. 18. Volkov O. 8. Zabotkin M.
13. Dolzhenko V. (G) 22. Bocharov A. 44. Chubukin A. 97. Doronin S. 4. Ermakov V. 19. Gordeev K. 21. Khityaev A. 8. Knyazev D. 5. Shirokov A. 11. Weber D. 9. Yurchenko I.
Substitutes
51. Alekseev E. (G) 9. Antsiferov I. 63. Kalinin N. 97. Kotelnikov D. 27. Lukoyanov M. 59. Semenov I.
7. Abramushkin N. 1. Anikeev R. (G) 65. Goryachkin A. 91. Kozhukhar I. 6. Kudryashov S. 74. Lapin A. 10. Merenchukov D. 88. Rogov D. 57. Shulkin N. (G) 80. Zhebryakov E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Ermakov V. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Belyakov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 2 - 0, Belyakov I. ⚽,
58', Saygushev V. 🟨,
60', Belyakov I. ↓, Antsiferov I. ↑,
61', Gordeev K. 🟨,
66', Chubukin A. ↓, Rogov D. ↑,
66', Saygushev V. ↓, Kotelnikov D. ↑,
66', Weber D. 🟨,
73', Khityaev A. ↓, Abramushkin N. ↑,
76', Doronin S. 🟨,
77', Abramov A. 🟨,
78', Chechetkin D. ↓, Semenov I. ↑,
78', Zabotkin M. ↓, Lukoyanov M. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Shirokov A. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+12', 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2).
Volna Kovernino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Khimik Dzerzhinsk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Khimik Dzerzhinsk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volna Kovernino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Volna Kovernino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.