Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 15

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Orenburg-2		Amkar Perm

	1	X	2
	6.06	3.94	1.47
	5.58	3.76	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.82 ↑ (5.58)	3.85 ↑ (3.76)	1.47 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg-2
15.4%

Draw
23.3%

Amkar Perm
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

23.5%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

22.7%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Amkar Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Orenburg-2 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Skichko E. (G) 79. Antsiperov D. 96. Baranovsky A. 69. Davydov V. 65. Ivashchenko I. 70. Kapustyanskiy D. 63. Minatulaev O. 25. Oleynik S. 77. Revazov A. 93. Zhelannikov A. 34. Zverev S.	1. Kolesov N. (G) 14. Chushyalov D. 97. Goldobin N. 20. Kalayda D. 8. Matsukatov A. 33. Myrzakov K. 44. Sukhoruchenko M. 30. Takazov S. (C) 7. Tyukalov E. 3. Zhilov I. 77. Zuev D.
Substitutes
48. Antsiperov E. 66. Ivanov L. 97. Kazhura S. 72. Mavrichev A. 91. Morozov I. 87. Nekrasov O. 67. Pitintsev Y. 58. Polukhin D. 80. Pykhcheev M. 85. Tyulenev N. (G) 82. Vsyakikh I.	35. Aysin M. (G) 95. Chernyshev A. 11. Dibirgadzhiev D. 4. Gallyamov E. 5. Sanakoev G. 70. Shoronov R. 6. Tolkachev L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Zuev D. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Minatulaev O. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Antsiperov D. ⚽,
35', Minatulaev O. 🟨,
45+2', Takazov S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Goldobin N. ↓, Gallyamov E. ↑,
46', Zhilov I. ↓, Sanakoev G. ↑,
46', Revazov A. ↓, Pitintsev Y. ↑,
46', Baranovsky A. ↓, Morozov I. ↑,
48', Davydov V. 🟨,
51', Matsukatov A. 🟨,
61', Minatulaev O. ↓, Pykhcheev M. ↑,
61', Matsukatov A. ↓, Dibirgadzhiev D. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Antsiperov D. ⚽,
66', 4 - 1, Antsiperov D. ⚽,
70', 5 - 1, Zverev S. ⚽,
71', Kapustyanskiy D. ↓, Antsiperov E. ↑,
76', Chushyalov D. ↓, Chernyshev A. ↑,
77', Takazov S. ↓, Shoronov R. ↑,
80', Antsiperov D. ↓, Vsyakikh I. ↑,
90+3', Pitintsev Y. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 0.

Orenburg-2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Amkar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Amkar is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg-2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg-2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
27.07.25	Ural 2 - Orenburg-2	0:5 ✺
06.07.25	Orenburg-2 - Rubin 2 Kazan	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Orenburg-2	3:2 ✺
22.06.25	Orenburg-2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:3 ✺
15.06.25	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Orenburg-2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLLT
- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
27.07.25	Amkar Perm - Chelyabinsk 2	3:1 ✺
06.07.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Amkar Perm	1:5 ✺
29.06.25	Ural 2 - Amkar Perm	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Amkar Perm - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Rubin 2 Kazan - Amkar Perm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
27.04.25	Amkar Perm - Orenburg-2	0:0
05.10.24	Amkar Perm - Orenburg-2	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
06.11.22	Orenburg-2 - Amkar Perm	0:4
03.09.22	Amkar Perm - Orenburg-2	3:3
04.11.21	Amkar Perm - Orenburg-2	3:0
04.10.21	Orenburg-2 - Amkar Perm	4:1

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