Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Spring Season - Round 17

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday


	Khimik Dzerzhinsk		Avangard Kursk

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.25	2.85
	2.5	3.25	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.91)	3.25 ↑ (3.22)	2.66 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik Dzerzhinsk
37.9%

Draw
27.9%

Avangard Kursk
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.3%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

26.3%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimik Dzerzhinsk's performance.

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avangard Kursk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Avangard Kursk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Shulkin N. (G) 17. Abramushkin N. 9. Antsiferov I. 97. Doronin S. 71. Egurnev A. 4. Ermakov V. 11. Markov V. 6. Sakovich A. 23. Sergienko A. 22. Shcherbakov K. 5. Shirokov A. (C)	1. Mitsaev R. (G) 3. Chibisov S. 7. Ignatenko V. 9. Imullin N. (C) 71. Ivanteev A. 23. Kuleshin I. 74. Kupriyanov N. 37. Malykhin D. 17. Matyushenko I. 88. Savin D. 5. Zhilmostnykh D.
Substitutes
10. Belyakov I. 77. Kotelnikov D. 8. Lysenko N. 88. Minaev G. 59. Morozov K. 24. Saifulin R. 13. Salnikov I. (G) 47. Sergienko I. 21. Yuferov L. 80. Zhumabekov M.	76. Ageev A. 46. Gershun I. 77. Nabatov E. 60. Pavlov D. 13. Skorobogatjko E. (G) 79. Svintsov D. 63. Volnov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Ignatenko V. ⚽,
36', Ermakov V. 🟨,
37', Savin D. 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Sergienko A. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Matyushenko I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sakovich A. ↓, Sergienko I. ↑,
46', Markov V. ↓, Belyakov I. ↑,
58', 1 - 3, Zhilmostnykh D. ⚽,
65', Abramushkin N. ↓, Yuferov L. ↑,
66', Ermakov V. 🟥,
70', Sergienko A. ↓, Lysenko N. ↑,
73', Shcherbakov K. 🟨,
80', Malykhin D. ↓, Ageev A. ↑,
80', Ignatenko V. ↓, Pavlov D. ↑,
84', Egurnev A. 🟨,
86', Egurnev A. ↓, Zhumabekov M. ↑,
87', Kupriyanov N. ↓, Nabatov E. ↑,
90', Ivanteev A. ↓, Volnov I. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Fall Season: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Khimik Dzerzhinsk have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
29.05.24	Torpedo Miass - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Irtysh Omsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	4:4 ✺
24.04.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTTWT
- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
29.05.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Avangard Kursk	3:0 ✺
25.05.24	Avangard Kursk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Spartak Kostroma - Avangard Kursk	0:0 ✺
24.04.24	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Avangard Kursk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLT

Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Avangard Kursk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide