Match Info

Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Avangard Kursk		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	3.14	3.13	2.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	3.13 ↓ (3.14)	2.17 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
29%

Draw
29.1%

Kaluga
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

27.7%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Sychev Y. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Mamkin I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Sychev Y. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kaluga is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Avangard Kursk won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Avangard Kursk won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Avangard Kursk - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 30.95%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Strogino Moskva	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWTL
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.08.26	Kaluga - Dynamo Bryansk	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Kaluga - Iskra Smolensk	5:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.08.26	Kaluga - Rodina Moscow 2	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Dynamo Kirov - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
14.09.25	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2
02.08.25	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	2:1
21.05.25	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	0:2
05.04.25	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
10.11.24	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:0
15.09.24	Kaluga - Avangard Kursk	1:1
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
24.04.24	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2

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