Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 15

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Khimik Stadium (Dzerzhinsk)


	Khimik Dzerzhinsk		Irtysh Omsk

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.9)	3.6 ↓ (3.7)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik Dzerzhinsk
48.7%

Draw
25.3%

Irtysh Omsk
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Shulkin N. (G) 7. Abramushkin N. 44. Chubukin A. 4. Ermakov V. 77. Kotelnikov D. 18. Krashevskiy Y. 19. Krasnov Y. 2. Mikhaylenko D. 37. Puchkov S. 5. Shirokov A. (C) 17. Tsikishev V.	16. Raifegerste R. (G) 89. Dorofeev N. 7. Geryugov A. 11. Karev V. 49. Korkin P. 19. Larin A. 30. Lobanov G. 44. Sadykov B. (C) 6. Saraev K. 22. Shcherbakov K. 10. Yanushkovskiy R.
Substitutes
1. Anikeev R. (G) 9. Antsiferov I. 15. Berezov D. 62. Dolzhenko V. (G) 97. Doronin S. 11. Markov V. 10. Merenchukov D. 23. Sergienko A. 47. Sergienko I. 21. Yuferov L. 80. Zhumabekov M.	97. Dol Y. 25. Galochkin F. 4. Ivankov M. 54. Matyunin N. (G) 3. Polkovnikov M. 17. Shleermakher A. 31. Shokhin K. 59. Yanchenko V. A. 41. Zhustjev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Ermakov V. 🟨,
16', Shirokov A. 🟨,
28', Tsikishev V. 🟨,
32', Puchkov S. 🟨,
38', 🟨,
38', Larin A. 🟨,
43', Yanushkovskiy R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yanushkovskiy R. ↓, Shleermakher A. ↑,
59', Karev V. ↓, Yanchenko V. A. ↑,
72', Abramushkin N. ↓, Antsiferov I. ↑,
72', Krasnov Y. ↓, Merenchukov D. ↑,
72', Tsikishev V. ↓, Markov V. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Dorofeev N. ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, Dorofeev N. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Khimik Dzerzhinsk has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Irtysh is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Khimik Dzerzhinsk will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Khimik Dzerzhinsk won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Khimik Dzerzhinsk won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
20.10.24	Murom - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Dynamo Bryansk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Rodina Moscow 2 - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	5:0 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
19.10.24	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Irtysh Omsk	5:2 ✺
05.10.24	Irtysh Omsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Krasnodar 2 - Irtysh Omsk	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Irtysh Omsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
31.08.24	Irtysh Omsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:1
25.05.24	Irtysh Omsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:1
13.04.24	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Irtysh Omsk	1:1

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