Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 11 March 2024, Monday


	Khoosheh Talai		Fajr Sepasi

	1	X	2
	4.33	2.8	1.88
	4.8	2.8	1.93
	4.8	2.73	1.86
	4.75	2.9	1.85
	4.2	2.85	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (4.42)	2.82 ↑ (2.81)	1.9 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khoosheh Talai
19.8%

Draw
32.3%

Fajr Sepasi
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

32.3%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

31.4%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khoosheh Talai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fajr Sepasi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khoosheh Talai than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Khoosheh Talai won 2.

Khoosheh Talai is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fajr Sepasi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fajr Sepasi is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Khoosheh Talai won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Khoosheh Talai won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khoosheh Talai
Iran Division 1
04.03.24	Shahrdari Astara - Khoosheh Talai	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Khoosheh Talai - Shahin Bandar Ameri	1:1 ✺
21.02.24	Mes Kerman - Khoosheh Talai	1:0 ✺
14.02.24	SaiPa - Khoosheh Talai	1:0 ✺
02.02.24	Khoosheh Talai - Naft va Gaz Gachsaran	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLLT
- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
05.03.24	Fajr Sepasi - Mes Kerman	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Fajr Sepasi	0:1 ✺
20.02.24	Fajr Sepasi - SaiPa	1:1 ✺
14.02.24	Damash Gilan - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
08.02.24	Niroye Zamini - Fajr Sepasi	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
09.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	2:0
15.04.23	Khoosheh Talai - Fajr Sepasi	1:1
06.11.22	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	1:2
17.03.21	Khoosheh Talai - Fajr Sepasi	0:0
22.11.20	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	0:1
04.11.19	Khoosheh Talai - Fajr Sepasi	0:0

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