Match Info

Premier League

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Rwanda	Magic Sports TV


	Kigali		APR

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.15	1.72
	5.04	3.19	1.68
	5.11	3.24	1.72	Watch
	4.94	3.38	1.72	Watch
	5	3.14	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↑ (4.88)	3.22 ↑ (3)	1.71 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kigali
18.4%

Draw
28.3%

APR
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

30.2%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

29.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

APR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APR than the current prediction. (-1%)

Kigali - APR Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, APR is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 3 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
23.11.25	Rayon Sports - Kigali	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Kigali - Police	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Kigali - Kiyovu Sports	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Mukura Victory Sports - Kigali	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Kigali - Marines	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTLLW
- APR FC
Rwanda Premier League
25.11.25	APR - Marines	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Musanze - APR	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	APR - Rayon Sports	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Rutsiro - APR	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kiyovu Sports - APR	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
16.02.25	APR - Kigali	2:1
01.12.24	Kigali - APR	0:1
05.04.24	Kigali - APR	2:2
25.11.23	APR - Kigali	1:1
29.04.23	APR - Kigali	1:1
08.12.22	Kigali - APR	0:0
26.05.22	APR - Kigali	0:2

Kigali - APR: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide