Match Info

RWANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Kigali		Sunrise

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.2	5.25
	1.58	3.05	6.51
	1.59	3.05	6.51
	1.63	3.3	5.4
	1.55	3.4	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	3.2 ↓ (3.21)	5.97 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kigali
56.7%

Draw
28.2%

Sunrise
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

27.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

21.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sunrise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kigali that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunrise than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunrise could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kigali won 0.

Recent matches Kigali is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunrise is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sunrise could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kigali is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kigali won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Kigali won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
29.10.23	Musanze - Kigali	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Etoile de LEst - Kigali	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Kigali - Police	0:1 ✺
11.10.23	Marines - Kigali	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Kigali - Amagaju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLWT
- Sunrise FC
Rwanda Premier League
29.10.23	Sunrise - Muhazi United	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Rayon Sports - Sunrise	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Sunrise - Etincelles	0:1 ✺
10.10.23	Mukura Victory Sports - Sunrise	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Sunrise - Bugesera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
16.02.23	Kigali - Sunrise	2:2
21.12.22	Kigali - Sunrise	1:2
01.12.19	Kigali - Sunrise	2:2
27.03.19	Sunrise - Kigali	1:1
29.11.18	Kigali - Sunrise	0:1
10.05.18	Sunrise - Kigali	1:1
21.11.17	Kigali - Sunrise	3:2

Kigali - Sunrise: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide