Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga North - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Kilia Kiel		Hamburger II

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.4	1.43
	5	4.75	1.5
	5.89	4.74	1.46
	5.89	4.74	1.46
	5.8	4.67	1.44
	5.4	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.54 ↑ (4.43)	4.63 ↑ (4.26)	1.46 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kilia Kiel
16.7%

Draw
19.9%

Hamburger II
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

21.7%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

21.6%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kilia Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Hamburger II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hamburger II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilia Kiel than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger II than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hamburger II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kilia Kiel - Hamburger II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Harz T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Kilia Kiel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hamburg II is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburg II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hamburg II have a series of home games.

In this match Hamburg II is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kilia Kiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kilia Kiel
German Regionalliga North
17.04.24	Eimsbütteler - Kilia Kiel	5:1 ✺
12.04.24	SC Weiche-08 - Kilia Kiel	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Kilia Kiel - Meppen	0:5 ✺
16.03.24	Kilia Kiel - Spelle-Venhaus	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Kilia Kiel - Phönix Lübeck	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLTT
- Hamburger II
German Regionalliga North
14.04.24	Hamburger II - Phönix Lübeck	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	Hamburger II - Teutonia Ottensen	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Blau-Weiß Lohne - Hamburger II	1:2 ✺
03.04.24	Hamburger II - Meppen	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Hamburger II - St. Pauli II	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga North
22.10.23	Hamburger II - Kilia Kiel	4:2

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