Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 10

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday


	Kingston City		Northcote City

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.8	1.98
	2.7	4.1	2.07
	2.62	4.51	2.06	Watch
	2.57	4.2	2.12
	2.7	4.1	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.76)	4.14 ↓ (4.5)	2.06 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kingston City
33.9%

Draw
21.9%

Northcote City
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

20.3%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

19.3%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kingston City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kingston City's performance.

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northcote City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston City than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kingston City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northcote City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Kingston City - Northcote City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kingston City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Northcote City will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, O'Hea D. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, ⚽,
80', 🟥,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Kingston City could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Northcote City will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kingston City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:11 (average 2:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Kingston City won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:8 (average 2.3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kingston City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
04.04.25	Bentleigh Greens - Kingston City	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	Kingston City - Manningham United	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Brunswick City - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
17.03.25	Kingston City - North Sunshine Eagles	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Kingston City - Bulleen Lions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLLWW
- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
04.04.25	Northcote City - Bulleen Lions	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Caroline Springs George Cross - Northcote City	3:4 ✺
21.03.25	Northcote City - Langwarrin	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Western United U21 - Northcote City	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
31.05.24	Kingston City - Northcote City	2:5
Club Friendly
19.02.20	Kingston City - Northcote City	3:3
Australian NPL Victoria
23.07.18	Kingston City - Northcote City	2:0
21.04.18	Northcote City - Kingston City	3:1

Kingston City - Northcote City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide