Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Kingstonian		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	6	4.33	1.42
	5.6	4.85	1.44
	5.6	4.86	1.44
	4.5	4	1.53
	6.11	4.45	1.42
	6	4.33	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (2.93)	4.43 ↑ (3.75)	1.44 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kingstonian
16.2%

Draw
20.6%

Billericay Town
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

24.2%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

23.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kingstonian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kingstonian's form might have worsened.

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Billericay Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kingstonian than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kingstonian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Billericay Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kingstonian - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kingstonian won 1.

Kingstonian has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Billericay is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Billericay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Billericay is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Kingstonian won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Kingstonian won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kingstonian
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.24	Carshalton Athletic - Kingstonian	4:1 ✺
30.12.23	Kingstonian - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Kingstonian - Chatham Town	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Margate - Kingstonian	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Kingstonian - Potters Bar Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.24	Billericay Town - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
30.12.23	Whitehawk - Billericay Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.23	Billericay Town - Wealdstone	1:4 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.23	Billericay Town - Haringey Borough	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
12.08.23	Billericay Town - Kingstonian	1:0
21.01.23	Billericay Town - Kingstonian	5:1
05.11.22	Kingstonian - Billericay Town	2:1
20.11.17	Kingstonian - Billericay Town	0:2
12.08.17	Billericay Town - Kingstonian	0:0
18.03.17	Kingstonian - Billericay Town	0:2
17.12.16	Billericay Town - Kingstonian	0:2

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