Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Wingate & Finchley		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.45	2.32
	2.5	3.98	2.29
	2.62	3.49	2.38	Watch
	2.54	3.63	2.49
	2.5	3.75	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.62)	3.66 ↑ (3.49)	2.37 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
36.2%

Draw
25.1%

Billericay Town
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.3%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

26.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Billericay Town aligns with the current prediction.

Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Collis T. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Long E. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Akinola R. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 3.

Recent performances by Wingate & Finchley have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Billericay is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Billericay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Billericay has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:27. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Wingate & Finchley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Wingate & Finchley - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.07%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Billericay Town - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.6%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Folkestone Invicta	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Lewes	3:0 ✺
11.11.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Wingate & Finchley	0:3 ✺
08.11.25	Dartford - Wingate & Finchley	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LLWWW
- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.25	Billericay Town - Welling United	6:1 ✺
15.11.25	Whitehawk - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
11.11.25	Billericay Town - Dartford	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Billericay Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Billericay Town - Chatham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.08.25	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	2:1
22.03.25	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:3
07.12.24	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	0:1
23.03.24	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	1:2
02.12.23	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	2:1
11.03.23	Billericay Town - Wingate & Finchley	0:1
15.10.22	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	1:3

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