Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 4

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: KMC Stadium (Dar es Salaam)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Kinondoni MC		Mbeya City

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.3
	2.12	3	3.38
	2.16	3.09	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	3.03 ↑ (3)	3.36 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kinondoni MC
42.8%

Draw
30.1%

Mbeya City
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Kinondoni MC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mbeya City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kinondoni MC - Mbeya City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mutombora F. (G) 47. Abbas I. 3. Masoud H. 14. Mwijage E. 46. Pipino A. 11. Rashid M. 30. Redemtus M. 19. Sagwe J. 32. Said A. 5. Shemvuni J. 50. Tondi K.	48. Kakolanya B. D. (G) 10. Ambokile E. (C) 2. Ame I. 32. Antony M. 26. Buha A. 44. Chibada O. 60. Maranyingi B. 22. Mayanga V. 6. Mwaipola G. 17. Mwani W. 5. Seleman Mbegu Y.
Substitutes
8. Ally K. 6. Gambo I. 17. Kayombo E. . Mosha N. J. 21. Mwaituka S. 23. Oscar P. 10. Saliboko D. 22. Tapioh G. 34. Yassin H. (G)	. Juma M. . Kingu K. . Majimengi H. . Malacki M. . Mwaibindi J. . Pillar K. . Sweetbert S. . William D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Antony M. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Mayanga V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Antony M. ⚽,
72', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 3.

Kinondoni is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kinondoni is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kinondoni won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:1. (average 2.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kinondoni MC
Tanzanian Premier League
27.09.25	Prisons - Kinondoni MC	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Kinondoni MC - Singida Black Stars	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Kinondoni MC - Dodoma Jiji	1:0 ✺
CECAFA Clubs Cup
13.09.25	Singida Black Stars - Kinondoni MC	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	APR - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLT
- Mbeya City FC
Tanzanian Premier League
30.09.25	Mbeya City - Young Africans	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Azam - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
18.09.25	Singida Fountain Gate - Mbeya City	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Mbeya City - Mashujaa	0:1 ✺
16.06.23	Kinondoni MC - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
16.06.23	Kinondoni MC - Mbeya City	2:0
13.06.23	Mbeya City - Kinondoni MC	2:1
09.06.23	Mbeya City - Kinondoni MC	0:1
01.12.22	Kinondoni MC - Mbeya City	1:1
19.05.22	Kinondoni MC - Mbeya City	3:0
27.11.21	Mbeya City - Kinondoni MC	2:2
02.01.21	Mbeya City - Kinondoni MC	0:0

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