The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Namungo 52%
Draw 29.5%
Mbeya City 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
30.8%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
28.5%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Namungo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Mbeya City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Namungo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Namungo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbeya City than the current prediction. (+5%)
Namungo - Mbeya City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Suleiman A. (G) 17. Kabunda H. 60. Kazi H. 50. Kiswanya A. 26. Luzendaze G. 2. Machupa A. 19. Makambo H. 7. Manyanya H. 24. Masawe J. (C) 20. Mgunya H. 22. Shahame A.
18. Dondola S. (G) 10. Ambokile E. 42. Dilunga H. 33. Kijili K. 54. Lidah H. 14. Lukandamila D. 17. Mwani W. 15. Mwasa D. 28. Pemba K. 5. Seleman Mbegu Y. 6. Yassin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Kabunda H. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Ambokile E. ⚽, Seleman Mbegu Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Shahame A. ↓, Ngoye F. ↑,
65', Mgunya H. ↓, Mfuko A. ↑,
70', Manyanya H. 🟨,
72', 🟨,
75', Dilunga H. ↓, Buha A. ↑,
86', Luzendaze G. 🟨,
89', Makambo H. ↓, Rogers G. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation) and 14 in the zone Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Namungo won 3.
In recent matches, Namungo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mbeya City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Namungo is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Namungo won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Namungo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Africa
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Suleiman A. (G) 
Makambo H. 
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