Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Relegation Group

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Kiruna		Bergnäsets

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	3.95
	1.66	3.88	4.21
	2.28	3.66	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.28)	3.85 ↑ (3.66)	3.55 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kiruna
49.8%

Draw
24.1%

Bergnäsets
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

24.6%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

24.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiruna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kiruna's performance.

Bergnäsets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bergnäsets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiruna than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kiruna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergnäsets than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergnäsets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kiruna - Bergnäsets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2nd Half (3 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiruna won 1.

In recent matches, Kiruna has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bergnäsets is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kiruna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiruna won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiruna FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.09.25	Boden - Kiruna	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Kiruna - Täfteå	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Kiruna - Friska Viljor	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Lucksta - Kiruna	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Bergnäsets - Kiruna	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTLWW
- Bergnäsets AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
20.09.25	Bergnäsets - Lucksta	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Boden City - Bergnäsets	3:2 ✺
03.09.25	Boden - Bergnäsets	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Bergnäsets - Täfteå	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Bergnäsets - Kiruna	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
23.08.25	Bergnäsets - Kiruna	0:3
24.05.25	Kiruna - Bergnäsets	1:2
03.08.24	Bergnäsets - Kiruna	2:1
28.03.24	Kiruna - Bergnäsets	0:1
07.10.23	Bergnäsets - Kiruna	5:1
22.06.23	Kiruna - Bergnäsets	2:1
20.08.22	Kiruna - Bergnäsets	2:1

Kiruna - Bergnäsets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide