Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Kisumu All-Stars		MCF

	1	X	2
	1.8	2.99	4.63
	1.8	2.75	5
	1.75	3.29	4.88
	1.77	2.9	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	2.98 ↑ (2.76)	4.75 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kisumu All-Stars
50.7%

Draw
30.3%

MCF
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

32.5%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

31.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kisumu All-Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kisumu All-Stars's performance.

MCF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MCF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisumu All-Stars than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kisumu All-Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MCF than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Kisumu All Stars - MCF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Kisumu All-Stars has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

MCF has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kisumu All-Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, MCF has had a series of away games.

Kisumu All-Stars will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisumu All-Stars won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kisumu All-Stars won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Kisumu All-Stars	36	9	9	18	21:45	-24	36
18	MCF	36	8	10	18	22:38	-16	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kisumu All-Stars
Kenyan Super League
18.01.26	Nairobi City Stars - Kisumu All-Stars	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Kisumu All-Stars - Fortune Sacco	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Luanda Villa - Kisumu All-Stars	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Naivas	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Kabati - Kisumu All-Stars	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWL
- MCF FC
Kenyan Super League
09.01.26	Talanta - MCF	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	MCF - Darajani Gogo	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Soy United - MCF	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Nzoia United - MCF	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Equity Bank - MCF	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
22.03.25	MCF - Kisumu All-Stars	1:0
09.02.25	Kisumu All-Stars - MCF	0:0
22.10.23	MCF - Kisumu All-Stars	0:0
19.04.23	MCF - Kisumu All-Stars	1:0
14.12.22	Kisumu All-Stars - MCF	0:0

Kisumu All-Stars - MCF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide