Match Info

Peace Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Amahoro (Kigali)


	APR		Etincelles

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.99	6.58
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.42	3.82	7.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	3.85 ↑ (3.75)	6.84 ↑ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APR
63.4%

Draw
23.4%

Etincelles
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

23.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APR than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

APR - Etincelles Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

First leg result: 3-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APR won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, APR is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, APR won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:10. (average 1.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, APR won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 2.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APR FC
Rwanda Premier League
10.05.26	APR - Kigali	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	APR - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:4 ✺
02.05.26	Rayon Sports - APR	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Mukura Victory Sports - APR	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Etincelles - APR	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWL
- Etincelles FC
Rwanda Premier League
10.05.26	Gasogi United - Etincelles	2:2 ✺
07.05.26	Al-Merreikh - Etincelles	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Etincelles - Amagaju	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Etincelles - Kiyovu Sports	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Etincelles - APR	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
18.04.26	Etincelles - APR	2:1
02.12.25	APR - Etincelles	2:1
20.04.25	APR - Etincelles	2:2
29.09.24	Etincelles - APR	0:0
02.03.24	APR - Etincelles	1:0
22.10.23	Etincelles - APR	0:3
19.02.23	APR - Etincelles	4:2

APR - Etincelles: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide