Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Grefsen Stadion (Oslo)


	Kjelsås		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	4.2	4	1.57
	4.7	3.95	1.62
	4.82	4.15	1.63
	2.51	3.92	2.37	Watch
	4.42	4.21	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (4.72)	4.05 ↓ (4.38)	1.77 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kjelsås
23%

Draw
23.4%

Sarpsborg 08
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

21.1%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

21.3%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kjelsås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarpsborg 08 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kjelsås than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 08 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Kjelsås - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kjelsås will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kjelsås (votes: 1 - 50%). Sarpsborg (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Sarpsborg (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Sarpsborg (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Sarpsborg (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kjelsås (votes: 1 - 20%). Sarpsborg (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Staer-Jensen M. (G) 3. Meinseth H. 17. Olafsen S. 29. Halvorsen P. 28. Hermansen I. 8. Hermansen L. 10. Abbas A. 13. Ali Alzubi M. 20. Holter J. 11. Midtskogen O. 9. Aslaksrud J.	31. Jenssen H. (G) 32. Wichne E. 2. Koch M. 27. Njie M. 21. Hiim A. 4. Trondsen A. 17. Bruseth H. 7. Sanyang A. 33. Nibe A. 26. Job D. 19. Gudjohnsen S.
Substitutes
26. Anthonsen E. 21. Berge S. 15. Broch J. 30. Kirsebom T. (G) 6. Lamin K. 25. Sture J. 4. Vassdal H.	3. Jeahze M. 11. Karlsbakk D. 1. Ndiaye M. (G) 15. Opoku M. 20. Reinhardsen P. 6. Sher A. 81. Svenningsen Gronn M. 10. Tangen H. 13. Utvik B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 1 - 0, Holter J. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Nibe A. ⚽, Job D. (A),
19', 1 - 2, Sanyang A. ⚽, Wichne E. (A),
24', 1 - 3, Gudjohnsen S. ⚽, Wichne E. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', Trondsen A. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
62', 1 - 4, Koch M. ⚽, Nibe A. (A),
65', 2 - 4, Askengren P. ⚽, Olafsen S. (A),
66', Midtskogen O. ↓, Aslaksrud J. ↑,
66', Hermansen L. ↓, Sture J. ↑,
71', Job D. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
71', Wichne E. ↓, Reinhardsen P. ↑,
80', Hiim A. ↓, Jeahze M. ↑,
80', Bruseth H. ↓, Svenningsen Gronn M. ↑,
84', Abbas A. ↓, Vassdal H. ↑,
86', Olafsen S. 🟨,
90', Opoku M. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 4, Aslaksrud J. ⚽, Ali Alzubi M. (A),
90+3', 4 - 4, Halvorsen P. (Pen),
90+6', Svenningsen Gronn M. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
96', 4 - 5, Sanyang A. ⚽, Jeahze M. (A),
105', 🟨,
105+1', 5 - 5, Halvorsen P. (Pen),
106', Ali Alzubi M. ↓, Berge S. ↑,
107', Gudjohnsen S. 🟨,
119', Halvorsen P. ↓, Lamin K. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Aslaksrud J. (Pen),
1, Reinhardsen P. (Pen),
2, Berge S. (Pen),
2, Sanyang A. (Pen),
3, Holter J. (Pen),
3, Jeahze M. (Pen),
4, Meinseth H. (Pen),
4, Sher A. (Pen),
5, Vassdal H. (Pen),
5, Koch M. (Pen),
6, Lamin K. (Pen),
6, Tangen H. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kjelsås may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sarpsborg is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kjelsås won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kjelsås
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
20.09.25	Strømmen - Kjelsås	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Kjelsås - Follo	3:1 ✺
07.09.25	Rana - Kjelsås	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Kjelsås - Grorud	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Kjelsås - Moss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLW
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.09.25	Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Hamarkameratene - Sarpsborg 08	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Kristiansund	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.02.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Kjelsås	1:1

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