Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 22

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Marienlyst Stadion (Drammen)

Referee: Grotta M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Strømsgodset		Sarpsborg 08

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.8	3	Watch
	2.35	3.9	2.65
	2.25	4.08	2.98
	1.54	4.48	5.23	Watch
	2.36	3.87	2.74	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.82)	3.96 ↑ (3.91)	3.18 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset
44.8%

Draw
24.6%

Sarpsborg 08
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

24.4%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

25.6%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strømsgodset's performance.

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarpsborg 08 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strømsgodset than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strømsgodset that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarpsborg 08 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	13.3%	26.7%

Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08 Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Strømsgodset will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strømsgodset: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Strømsgodset (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Strømsgodset (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bratveit P. (G) 26. Vilsvik L. 25. Taaje J. 71. Valsvik G. (C) 27. Dahl F. 17. Bakke J. 8. Krasniqi K. 10. Stengel H. 80. Wikheim G. 20. Conteh A. 21. Farji M.	1. Ndiaye M. (G) 32. Wichne E. 13. Utvik B. 2. Koch M. 20. Reinhardsen P. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 6. Sher A. 28. Sorli S. 14. Berget J. (C) 15. Opoku M. 11. Karlsbakk D.
Substitutes
99. Ampofo J. 14. Enersen O. 15. Heredia-Randen A. 6. Marcello Silalahi S. A. 77. Mehnert M. 84. Skistad A. 5. Sormo B. 38. Torkildsen J. (G) 4. Westerlund S.	19. Gudjohnsen S. 21. Hiim A. 31. Jenssen H. (G) 26. Job D. 33. Nibe A. 27. Njie M. 7. Sanyang A. 10. Tangen H. 4. Trondsen A.
Coaches
Fagermo D	Nyland S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Conteh A. ⚽, Vilsvik L. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Taaje J. (Own goal),
38', Vilsvik L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Utvik B. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Valsvik G. ⚽, Dahl F. (A),
67', Berget J. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
67', Wikheim G. ↓, Enersen O. ↑,
68', Conteh A. ↓, Ampofo J. ↑,
73', Opoku M. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
73', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Trondsen A. ↑,
78', Reinhardsen P. 🟨,
79', Vilsvik L. ↓, Sormo B. ↑,
86', Sorli S. ↓, Nibe A. ↑,
86', Wichne E. ↓, Hiim A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 4.

Strømsgodset is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sarpsborg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Strømsgodset: Andersen E. (Knee Injury) Johansen E. H. (Knock) Lampinen-Skaug S. (Knock) Melkersen E. (Knee Injury) Vilaseca Ardraa F. P. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Strømsgodset: Mehnert M. (Knock)

There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Jeahze M. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strømsgodset won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Strømsgodset won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.25	Hamarkameratene - Strømsgodset	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Strømsgodset - Molde	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Bryne - Strømsgodset	2:2 ✺
15.08.25	Strømsgodset - Bodø Glimt	0:5 ✺
03.08.25	Strømsgodset - Haugesund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTLW
- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
14.09.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Hamarkameratene - Sarpsborg 08	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Kristiansund	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08	4:0 ✺
10.08.25	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
27.04.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Strømsgodset	2:3
Club Friendly
12.10.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Strømsgodset	1:0
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.09.24	Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08	2:1
26.05.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Strømsgodset	1:3
12.08.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Strømsgodset	1:2
09.07.23	Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08	5:2
Club Friendly
12.03.23	Strømsgodset - Sarpsborg 08	0:2

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