Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Kluczevia Stargard		Elana Toruń

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	5.00
	1.45	4.15	5.1
	1.49	4.25	4.81
	1.5	4.38	5.01	Watch
	1.47	4.2	4.75
	1.47	4.2	5.44	Watch
	1.38	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.38)	4.27 ↓ (4.4)	5.1 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kluczevia Stargard
61.4%

Draw
21%

Elana Toruń
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kluczevia Stargard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Elana Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kluczevia Stargard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Kluczevia Stargard - Elana Toruń Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Pietrzyk K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 0, Pietrzyk K. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Woroniecki K. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Kluczevia Stargard has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elana Toruń is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elana Toruń may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kluczevia Stargard is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kluczevia Stargard won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kluczevia Stargard won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Kluczevia Stargard	10	6	1	3	19:16	3	19
15	Elana Torun	11	2	4	5	16:22	-6	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.09.26	Noteć Czarnków - Kluczevia Stargard	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Siedlce	2:3 AET ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Kluczevia Stargard	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWT
- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.09.26	Elana Toruń - Wda Świecie	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	KKS Kalisz - Elana Toruń	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Noteć Czarnków - Elana Toruń	3:1 ✺
19.08.26	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Elana Toruń	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.04.26	Elana Toruń - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1
05.10.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Elana Toruń	1:2
05.09.21	Elana Toruń - Kluczevia Stargard	1:1

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