Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Stargard)


	Kluczevia Stargard		Pogoń Siedlce

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.10	2.15
	3.60	3.25	1.88
	3.00	3.25	2.22
	3.48	3.29	2.02	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.15
	3.09	3.29	2.26	Watch
	3.10	3.20	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↓ (3.95)	3.2 ↓ (3.65)	2.13 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kluczevia Stargard
28.8%

Draw
28.4%

Pogoń Siedlce
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24.9%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24.3%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kluczevia Stargard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kluczevia Stargard's performance.

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Siedlce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kluczevia Stargard than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kluczevia Stargard that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Siedlce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Siedlce Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matloka P. (C) 25. Bak M. 55. Balcewicz F. 77. da Silva de Melo R. 47. Duda J. 8. Gawron M. 3. Miguel Alcantara 32. Obst R. 99. Pietrzyk K. 14. Sadowski H. 10. Stasiak A.	1. Tomkiel J. (G) 31. Dzieciol E. (C) 14. Jakubik D. 26. Kendzia F. 6. Kizyma M. 21. Kobusinski S. 10. Makowski R. 17. Marzec M. 16. Poczobut B. 72. Szczytniewski S. 95. Zielonka N.
Substitutes
. Baranowski P. . Bartkowiak F. . Brodzinski S. (G) . Jesionowski B. . Kaczorek M. . Kwiecien M. . Pach F. . Wozniak K. . Yefimenko D.	56. Demianiuk C. 22. Klimek P. 57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 2. Mis K. 9. Rosolek M. 47. Swierczewski B. 7. Szuprytowski D. 29. Trepka L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Obst R. 🟨,
43', Kobusinski S. 🟨,
45', Gawron M. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, da Silva de Melo R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Makowski R. ↓, Demianiuk C. ↑,
46', Zielonka N. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Dzieciol E. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Yefimenko D. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Szczytniewski S. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
120', 2 - 3, Kendzia F. ⚽,

Preview

Kluczevia Stargard has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pogoń Siedlce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pogoń Siedlce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pogoń Siedlce could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kluczevia Stargard
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Kluczevia Stargard	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Gedania Gdańsk	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWW
- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
29.08.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WLWTL

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