Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Knokke		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
				Watch
	2.24	3.5	2.8
	2.23	3.39	3.05
	2.15	3.44	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.26)	3.43 ↑ (3.39)	2.9 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knokke
41.9%

Draw
26.6%

Excelsior Virton
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knokke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Excelsior Virton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Knokke than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Knokke - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 12).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Virton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Knokke have a series of home games.

Knokke will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Knokke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Knokke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knokke FC
Belgian National Division 1
28.01.24	Knokke - Thes Sport	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Knokke - Gent B	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Tienen - Knokke	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Knokke - Royal Antwerp 2	5:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
06.12.23	Knokke - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWL
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
27.01.24	Excelsior Virton - Dessel Sport	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.01.24	Swift Hesperange - Excelsior Virton	3:2 ✺
Belgian National Division 1
13.01.24	Excelsior Virton - Tienen	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Excelsior Virton	4:0 ✺
09.12.23	Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
16.09.23	Excelsior Virton - Knokke	1:1
06.04.19	Excelsior Virton - Knokke	4:0
29.09.18	Knokke - Excelsior Virton	0:1
17.02.18	Excelsior Virton - Knokke	1:3
12.11.17	Knokke - Excelsior Virton	4:0

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