Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 13 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Tienen

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
				Watch
	1.8	3.53	4.17
	1.8	3.53	4.17
	1.74	3.52	4.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (2.12)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	4.14 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
51.7%

Draw
26.2%

Tienen
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

24.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.

Tienen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tienen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Virton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tienen than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tienen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Excelsior Virton - Tienen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17).

Recent matches Virton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tienen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Virton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Virton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
17.12.23	Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport - Excelsior Virton	4:0 ✺
09.12.23	Excelsior Virton - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:3 ✺
02.12.23	Heist - Excelsior Virton	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Excelsior Virton - Lokeren	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Leuven B - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLW
- KVK Tienen
Belgian National Division 1
17.12.23	Tienen - Knokke	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Tienen - RAAL La Louvière	0:1 ✺
02.12.23	Lokeren - Tienen	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Tienen - Sint-Eloois-Winkel Sport	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Hoogstraten - Tienen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
08.10.23	Tienen - Excelsior Virton	2:1

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