Match Info

BELGIUM: BELGIAN CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday


	Knokke		Oud-Heverlee Leuven

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.4
	5.5	4.5	1.43
	6	4.5	1.45	Watch
	5.6	4.7	1.48
	5.44	4.7	1.48
	6	4.6	1.36
	6.1	4.7	1.46	Watch
	6.2	4.9	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.92 ↓ (6.41)	4.67 ↓ (4.84)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knokke
15.7%

Draw
19.9%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

18.9%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

18%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knokke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Knokke than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oud-Heverlee Leuven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Knokke - Oud Heverlee Leuven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goblet M. (G) 93. Bailly A. 20. Buysse J. 7. Hebbelinck K. 10. Jalloh A. 18. Mfumu J. 8. Pierre N. 19. Pieters J. 11. Prudhomme L. 2. Vanraefelghem R. 26. Vervaque J.	1. Leysen T. (G) 11. Banzuzi E. 6. Dom J. 88. Maziz Y. 20. Mendyl H. 15. Ndri K. 43. Nsingi N. 28. Pletinckx E. (C) 52. Sagrado R. 23. Schingtienne J. 7. Thorsteinsson J.
Substitutes
16. Addo S. 70. Aelterman N. 22. Coninckx T. 21. de Poorter R. 90. Hallaert L. 66. Meese W. (G) 23. Varela L.	9. Brunes J. 10. Holzhauser R. 18. Miguel F. 5. Ngawa P. 16. Prevot M. (G) 8. Schrijvers S. 3. Shlomo R.
Coaches
Tant J.	Garcia O.

Preview

Recent matches Knokke is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leuven is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Leuven is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Knokke won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Knokke won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knokke FC
Belgian National Division 1
02.12.23	Knokke - Dessel Sport	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Thes Sport - Knokke	4:2 ✺
19.11.23	URSL Vise - Knokke	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Knokke - Lokeren	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Leuven B - Knokke	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.12.23	Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
04.11.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
01.11.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eendracht Elene-Grotenberge	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
11.10.20	Knokke - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:2

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