Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Burgemeester Graaf Leopold Lippens Park (Knokke)


	Knokke		Heist

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.33	5.5
	1.37	4.8	6.4
	1.43	4.47	6.03	Watch
	1.37	5.21	6.86
	1.37	4.8	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.46)	4.72 ↑ (4.23)	6.24 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Knokke
65.8%

Draw
19.4%

Heist
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.6%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.6%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Knokke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Heist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Knokke than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heist than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Knokke - Heist Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Pieters J. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Braem S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 🟥,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Knokke won 2.

Knokke is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heist is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Knokke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Knokke is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Knokke to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Knokke won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:20 (average 1.7:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Knokke won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 2:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Knokke FC
Belgian National Division 1 VV
05.04.25	Cappellen - Knokke	0:4 ✺
30.03.25	Knokke - Merelbeke	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Tienen - Knokke	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Knokke - Cercle Brugge 2	4:3 ✺
22.02.25	Belisia Bilzen - Knokke	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWT
- KSK Heist
Belgian National Division 1 VV
29.03.25	Thes Sport - Heist	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Heist	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Heist - Hoogstraten	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Heist - Cercle Brugge 2	1:4 ✺
22.02.25	Ninove - Heist	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
07.12.24	Heist - Knokke	1:1
Belgian National Division 1
02.03.24	Heist - Knokke	2:2
24.09.23	Knokke - Heist	2:1
18.03.23	Heist - Knokke	2:0
16.10.22	Knokke - Heist	4:1
19.12.21	Knokke - Heist	1:3
17.03.19	Knokke - Heist	0:2

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