Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 7

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, TRT Spor


	Kocaelispor		Şanlıurfaspor

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	7	Watch
	1.39	4.2	6.25
	1.4	4.5	8
	1.38	4.62	8.28
	1.42	4.39	7.38	Watch
	1.33	4.33	7.5
	1.42	4.39	7.32	Watch
	1.4	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.6)	4.39 ↑ (3.85)	7.47 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
66.5%

Draw
21.1%

Şanlıurfaspor
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kocaelispor's performance.

Şanlıurfaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Şanlıurfaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kocaelispor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Şanlıurfaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Kocaelispor will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (G) 22. Oguz A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 15. Serbest T. 3. Cinan M. 5. Appindangoye A. 6. Pedrinho 18. Gedik F. 8. Celik C. 20. Mendes R. 9. Sagat A.	20. Sunger A. (G) 2. Camoglu B. 10. Forsell P. 4. Mboula U. 5. Eren F. 72. Gonulacar M. 90. Menize C. 23. Ercelik H. 26. Acar H. 19. Yardimci N. 14. Kayode O.
Substitutes
70. Alici B. 7. Beridze G. 11. Caktas M. 19. Gedik E. 41. Oztonga O. 99. Sekmez M. K. 1. Tekin H. (G) 45. Tunali M. 4. Vukovic J. 32. Yilmaz M.	77. Acer M. 15. Ashkovski S. 52. Aybasti A. 82. Begic A. 7. Cetin F. 99. Gokbayrak A. 13. Kalyoncu E. (G) 41. Koyuncu E. A. 8. Ofosu R. 63. Sen S.
Coaches
Saglam E.	Sozeri E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Forsell P. ↓, Cetin F. ↑,
63', Ercelik H. 🟨,
63', Gedik F. ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
63', Celik C. ↓, Caktas M. ↑,
72', Menize C. ↓, Begic A. ↑,
78', Mendes R. 🟨,
79', Camoglu B. ↓, Aybasti A. ↑,
81', Serbest T. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
81', Pedrinho ↓, Alici B. ↑,
85', Sagat A. 🟨,
86', Sunger A. 🟨,
90+2', Gonulacar M. 🟨,
90+7', Acar H. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Kocaelispor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Sarman H. A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Şanlıurfaspor: Malle A. (Red Card)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
22.09.24	Çorum - Kocaelispor	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Kocaelispor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
02.09.24	Amed SK - Kocaelispor	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Pendikspor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWW
- Şanlıurfaspor
Turkish First League
23.09.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Sakaryaspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Bandırmaspor	3:2 ✺
26.08.24	İstanbulspor - Şanlıurfaspor	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Umraniyespor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
17.02.24	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:1
24.09.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Kocaelispor	0:2
Turkish Second League White Group
15.04.21	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1
17.01.21	Şanlıurfaspor - Kocaelispor	1:1

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