Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, TRT Spor


	Kocaelispor		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.75	3.6	4.75
	1.76	3.46	4.83
	1.75	3.25	4.4
	1.73	3.5	4.57
	1.75	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.95)	3.47 ↓ (3.8)	4.53 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
53.1%

Draw
26.6%

Igdirspor
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

24.7%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.2%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Igdirspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igdirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Kocaelispor - Igdirspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Igdirspor will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kocaelispor: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Degirmenci G. (G) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 15. Serbest T. 19. Gedik E. 88. Osmanpasa C. 45. Tunali M. 8. Celik C. 10. Marcao 20. Mendes R. 17. Caglayan O.	1. Kose F. (G) 21. Guima 4. Ozturk A. 5. Hatipoglu H. 20. Colgecen M. 88. Silva M. 8. Eysseric V. 17. Engin A. 10. Regattin A. 77. Keskin B. 9. Aleksic K.
Substitutes
70. Alici B. 7. Beridze G. 11. Caktas M. 3. Cinan M. 18. Gedik F. 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 2. Sarman H. A. 1. Tekin H. (G) 32. Yilmaz M.	36. Altiparmak B. 32. Arda A. (G) 30. Avci K. 86. Bekaroglu B. 22. Cavlan C. 11. Coban B. 80. Lico D. 72. Niemann N. 61. Sonmez H. 34. Thuram
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Marcao ⚽, Oguz A. (A),
42', 2 - 0, Mendes R. ⚽, Marcao (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guima ↓, Sonmez H. ↑,
46', Keskin B. ↓, Coban B. ↑,
63', Ozkoylu O. 🟨,
65', Marcao ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
73', Silva M. 🟨,
75', Caglayan O. ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
75', Tunali M. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
75', Eysseric V. ↓, Altiparmak B. ↑,
76', Aleksic K. ↓, Thuram ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Celik C. ⚽,
81', Serbest T. ↓, Alici B. ↑,
81', Mendes R. ↓, Caktas M. ↑,
86', Gedik E. 🟨,
87', Colgecen M. ↓, Cavlan C. ↑,
90+1', Hatipoglu H. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Kocaelispor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Igdirspor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kocaelispor to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
22.12.24	Boluspor - Kocaelispor	1:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Çorluspor - Kocaelispor	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Kocaelispor - Erokspor	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Yeni Malatyaspor - Kocaelispor	1:3 ✺
29.11.24	Kocaelispor - Adanaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
21.12.24	Igdirspor - Yeni Malatyaspor	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Sakaryaspor - Igdirspor	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Igdirspor - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.24	Igdirspor - Muş Spor	2:3 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.24	İstanbulspor - Igdirspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLLLL

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