Match Info

TURKEY: Turkish Cup - Round 2

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	A Spor
Turkey	A Spor


	Kocaelispor		Sivasspor

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.7
	2.25	3.25	2.75
	2.3	3.1	2.85
	2.49	3.42	2.74
	2.37	3.37	2.89	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.8
	2.44	3.4	2.73	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.51)	3.26 ↓ (3.39)	2.79 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
39%

Draw
28.2%

Sivasspor
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

26.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sivasspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Kocaelispor - Sivasspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Sen B. (G) 32. Yilmaz M. (C) 41. Oztonga O. 44. Cil M. 3. Cinan M. 70. Alici B. 45. Tunali M. 4. Vukovic J. 18. Gedik F. 9. Sagat A. 10. Marcao	13. Nikolic D. (G) 23. Okumus A. (C) 44. Poungouras A. 53. Basyigit E. 90. Turgunboev A. 15. Bieganski J. 80. Bekiroglu E. 25. Aksoy O. 10. Pritchard A. 22. Simic V. 46. Boke T.
Substitutes
. Acik M. 17. Caglayan O. 8. Celik C. 91. Gocen A. (G) 15. Serbest T. 23. Yalcin S.	58. Erdal Z. 74. Erdursun A. (G) 21. Gokay E. 66. Kaya S. 12. Moutoussamy S. 99. Nazli M. 7. Paluli M. 26. Radakovic U. 88. Seker T. 27. Sonko Sundberg N.
Coaches
Tasdemir I.	Erdogan O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Alici B. 🟥,
39', Okumus A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Bekiroglu E. ⚽, Bieganski J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marcao ↓, Yalcin S. ↑,
46', Oztonga O. ↓, Serbest T. ↑,
65', Simic V. ↓, Paluli M. ↑,
65', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Moutoussamy S. ↑,
65', Okumus A. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,
67', Sagat A. ↓, Caglayan O. ↑,
67', Vukovic J. ↓, Celik C. ↑,
76', Yilmaz M. 🟨,
79', Tunali M. ↓, Altas M. ↑,
85', Aksoy O. ↓, Kaya S. ↑,
90', Pritchard A. ↓, Seker T. ↑,
90+4', Kaya S. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Gokay E. ⚽, Boke T. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Kocaelispor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sivasspor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kocaelispor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kocaelispor have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
01.02.25	Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Kocaelispor - Pendikspor	3:0 ✺
20.01.25	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL
- Sivasspor
Turkish Super League
31.01.25	Eyüpspor - Sivasspor	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Sivasspor - Kayserispor	5:2 ✺
20.01.25	Trabzonspor - Sivasspor	4:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sivasspor - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Sivasspor - Beşiktaş	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTL

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