Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Turtay O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erzurumspor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.9	2.88
	2.4	2.8	2.85
	2.5	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.56	2.92	3.17
	2.5	2.93	3.09	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.9
	2.45	2.98	2.95
	2.55	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.57)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.01 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
37.2%

Draw
32%

Kocaelispor
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

30.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 2. Akbas M. 21. Roshi O. 25. Azubuike O. 8. Akgun S. 15. Giorbelidze G. 91. Teklic T. 10. Tozlu E. 11. Mamba S.	35. Degirmenci G. (C) 22. Oguz A. 5. Appindangoye A. 88. Osmanpasa C. 19. Gedik E. 6. Pedrinho 8. Celik C. 15. Serbest T. 23. Yalcin S. 17. Caglayan O. 20. Mendes R.
Substitutes
4. Akkan G. 1. Bakirbas G. (G) 77. Hanalp C. 9. Kilinc K. 3. Kirtay Y. 20. Ozhan F. 17. Sarikaya S. 18. Sert O. 29. Sylla C. 88. Tasev T.	70. Alici B. 3. Cinan M. 18. Gedik F. 10. Marcao 41. Oztonga O. 9. Sagat A. 34. Sen B. (G) 45. Tunali M. 4. Vukovic J. 32. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Tasdemir I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Appindangoye A. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
21', Akgun S. 🟨,
34', Azubuike O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mamba S. ↓, Kilinc K. ↑,
53', Teklic T. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
56', Roshi O. 🟨,
58', Serbest T. ↓, Vukovic J. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Akbas M. ⚽, Akgun S. (A),
73', Ovacikli O. ↓, Hanalp C. ↑,
74', Giorbelidze G. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
80', Gedik E. ↓, Cinan M. ↑,
81', Pedrinho ↓, Sagat A. ↑,
90+1', Caglayan O. ↓, Oztonga O. ↑,
90+1', Celik C. ↓, Tunali M. ↑,
90+7', Sagat A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
26.01.25	Ankaragücü - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Erzurumspor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.01.25	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Turkish First League
05.01.25	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLT
- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
26.01.25	Kocaelispor - Pendikspor	3:0 ✺
20.01.25	Gençlerbirliği - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Antalyaspor - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
Turkish First League
03.01.25	Kocaelispor - Igdirspor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.08.24	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	1:0
02.03.24	Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor	0:0
06.10.23	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	1:1
01.05.22	Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor	1:0
10.12.21	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	2:0

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