Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Kocaeli Stadium (Izmit)

Referee: Daldas F. (Tur)


	Kocaelispor		Tuzlaspor

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.3	4.33
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.79	3.54	4.96
	1.78	3.54	4.96
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.73	3.52	4.64
	1.72	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.46)	3.48 ↓ (4.08)	4.69 ↓ (6.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kocaelispor
53.5%

Draw
26.7%

Tuzlaspor
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

22.7%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

21.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kocaelispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kocaelispor's form might have worsened.

Tuzlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tuzlaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kocaelispor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tuzlaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Kocaelispor - Tuzlaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kocaelispor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Tuzlaspor will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tekin H. (G) 53. Oksuz B. 55. Abdioglu Y. 4. Ortakaya E. 19. Turan A. 44. Vukovic J. 70. Alici B. 10. Candeias D. 12. Kharaishvili G. 41. Amaral J. 38. Skhirtladze D.	99. Yurt K. (G) 22. Cinar Z. 33. Akkan G. 4. Hasanalizada B. 96. Giritlioglu C. 44. Bangoura S. 12. Ba M. 19. Ciftci H. 28. Togui W. 17. Mamba S. 42. Coskun M.
Substitutes
23. Aksu D. 14. Beridze G. 8. Celik C. 7. Ekinci C. 11. Kouakou C. 67. Sari M. E. (G) 5. Sarman H. A. 47. Sheydayev R. 45. Tunali M. 32. Yilmaz M.	10. Akarslan M. 27. Asatekin S. 3. Awuku P. 77. Bas S. 67. Demiryurek G. (G) 11. Kose A. 24. Koyuncu E. (G) 18. Novikovas A. 7. Stankovski L. 90. Tasdemir B. A.
Coaches
Gursel M.	Irtegun B.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Kocaelispor is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kocaelispor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Kocaelispor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kocaelispor
Turkish First League
02.03.24	Erzurumspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Keçiörengücü - Kocaelispor	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Kocaelispor - Şanlıurfaspor	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Boluspor - Kocaelispor	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Kocaelispor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTW
- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
02.03.24	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
26.02.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Tuzlaspor	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Tuzlaspor - Boluspor	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Adanaspor - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Tuzlaspor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
21.10.23	Tuzlaspor - Kocaelispor	1:2
19.02.22	Tuzlaspor - Kocaelispor	0:0
24.09.21	Kocaelispor - Tuzlaspor	1:0

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