Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 25

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Autocentralen Park (Kolding)

Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Kolding IF		Horsens

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	3
	2.4	3.1	3	Watch
	2.56	3.14	3.04
	2.28	3.23	3.17	Watch
	2.4	2.88	2.88
	2.41	3.11	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.84)	3.09 ↓ (3.23)	3.02 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolding IF
38.9%

Draw
30.2%

Horsens
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.7%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.9%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolding IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kolding IF's performance.

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Horsens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolding IF than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kolding IF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horsens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Kolding IF - Horsens Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kolding IF will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Horsens will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Horsens (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Danko A. (G) 21. Doj M. 5. Leifsson A. 3. Norager A. (C) 44. Texel P. 4. Lesniak F. 20. Saaby M. 22. Tannander I. 12. Moller F. 16. Adjei-Broni J. 24. Jorgensen C.	1. Delac M. (C) 26. Palsson V. 35. Kupijbida M. 24. Kolskogen O. 12. Tape C. 17. Herdonsson A. 20. Lusavec K. 27. Ouorou Y. 14. Madsen J. 10. Kirkegaard K. 15. Justinussen A.
Substitutes
25. Bossen N. 19. Hollsberg H. 7. Ingebrigtsen M. 2. Laursen L. 6. Nedic N. 10. Olsen M. 9. Perry N. 1. Trefil J. (G) 30. Voufack E.	22. Batigi J. 9. Baturina R. 5. Bruus A. 30. Doua S. 33. Ludwig A. 7. Milicevic I. 28. Saine A. 21. Samb M. M. 23. Smarsch D. (G)
Coaches
Rude A.	Kristensen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Moller F. ↓, Hollsberg H. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Ouorou Y. ⚽, Lusavec K. (A),
59', Adjei-Broni J. ↓, Ingebrigtsen M. ↑,
59', Doj M. ↓, Nedic N. ↑,
59', Jorgensen C. ↓, Perry N. ↑,
66', Ouorou Y. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
70', Palsson V. 🟨,
70', Texel P. ↓, Olsen M. ↑,
76', Justinussen A. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
77', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
82', Madsen J. ↓, Batigi J. ↑,
90', Hollsberg H. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolding IF won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kolding IF won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:19. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kolding IF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Kolding IF: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kolding IF	9	1	5	3	10:12	-2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Horsens - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolding IF
Danish 1 Division
11.04.26	Lyngby BK - Kolding IF	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Kolding IF - Esbjerg	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Kolding IF - B.93 Copenhagen	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Hvidovre - Kolding IF	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Kolding IF - Hobro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWTW
- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
11.04.26	Hillerød - Horsens	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Horsens - Lyngby BK	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Horsens - Hvidovre	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Aarhus Fremad - Horsens	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Horsens - Lyngby BK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
07.11.25	Kolding IF - Horsens	1:3
25.07.25	Horsens - Kolding IF	2:1
25.04.25	Horsens - Kolding IF	2:3
21.04.25	Kolding IF - Horsens	2:0
29.11.24	Kolding IF - Horsens	1:2
16.08.24	Horsens - Kolding IF	0:1
23.02.24	Horsens - Kolding IF	1:2

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