Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)

Referee: Kubryak D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kolos Kovalivka		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.88	3.95
	2.03	3.15	4.04	Watch
	2.1	3.05	4.37	Watch
	2	2.85	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2.03)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	4.09 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolos Kovalivka
45.7%

Draw
31.4%

Oleksandriya
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

30%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

29.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolos Kovalivka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pakholyuk I. (G) 77. Ponedelnik A. 3. Kozik E. 16. Krasniqi I. 9. Tsurikov A. (C) 55. Elias 20. Gagnidze N. 99. Rrapaj A. 19. Alefirenko D. 27. Oyewusi M. 15. Gusol A.	1. Dolgyi V. (G) 22. Skorko D. 26. Ferreira M. 86. Bol A. 16. Ndicka Matam T. 20. Vashchenko D. 9. Myshnyov D. (C) 8. Buletsa S. 59. Kozak A. 99. Castillo B. 27. Cara T.
Substitutes
5. Bondarenko V. 6. Burda M. 8. Chelyadin A. 7. Demchenko O. 14. Kane I. 70. Klymchuk Y. 10. Krasniqi A. 1. Matsapura D. (G) 2. Rukhadze Z. 17. Salabay A.	49. Amaral M. 5. Fernando Henrique 4. Goulart 19. Jota 10. Kulakov A. 72. Makarenko N. (G) 71. Shostak D. 11. Shulyanskyi A. 55. Smyrnyi Y. 24. Touati H. 2. Ukhan I.
Coaches
Kostyshyn R.	Kalynychenko Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Skorko D. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Cara T. ⚽, Buletsa S. (A),
40', Rrapaj A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Oyewusi M. 🟨,
55', Kozik E. 🟨,
61', Rrapaj A. ↓, Krasniqi A. ↑,
61', Oyewusi M. ↓, Klymchuk Y. ↑,
62', Vashchenko D. 🟨,
64', Buletsa S. ↓, Fernando Henrique ↑,
64', Castillo B. ↓, Kulakov A. ↑,
64', Myshnyov D. 🟨,
66', Kozak A. 🟨,
71', Fernando Henrique 🟨,
72', Myshnyov D. ↓, Smyrnyi Y. ↑,
73', Vashchenko D. ↓, Shostak D. ↑,
75', Alefirenko D. ↓, Kane I. ↑,
77', Kostyshyn R. 🟨,
82', Shostak D. 🟨,
83', Cara T. ↓, Goulart ↑,
86', Gusol A. ↓, Salabay A. ↑,
89', Elias 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Klymchuk Y. ⚽, Gagnidze N. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolos won 1.

Recent form of Kolos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oleksandriya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Oleksandriya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kolos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kolos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kolos won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
26.10.25	Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Rukh Lviv	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Kharkiv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Veres Rivne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League
24.10.25	Oleksandriya - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Veres Rivne - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Oleksandriya - Poltava	1:0 ✺
22.09.25	Dynamo Kyiv - Oleksandriya	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
07.03.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	0:1
31.08.24	Oleksandriya - Kolos Kovalivka	2:1
28.04.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	0:0
21.10.23	Oleksandriya - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1
15.05.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	0:2
05.11.22	Oleksandriya - Kolos Kovalivka	4:1
22.08.21	Kolos Kovalivka - Oleksandriya	0:1

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