Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Zirka Stadium (Kropyvnytsky)

Referee: Reznikov D. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Poltava		Kolos Kovalivka

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.05	1.46
	7.19	4.08	1.44
	6.47	4.10	1.52	Watch
	5.91	4.11	1.52	Watch
	7.4	4.2	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.73 ↑ (6.47)	4.11 ↑ (4.1)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
13.8%

Draw
22.7%

Kolos Kovalivka
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

23.1%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

23%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Poltava - Kolos Kovalivka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Poltava will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kolos will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Voskonyan V. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 33. Veremiyenko O. 20. Misyura Y. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 21. Doroshenko A. 44. Plakhtyr D. (C) 8. Odaryuk V. 14. Marusych M. 7. Galenkov D. 88. Vivdych O.	31. Pakholyuk I. (G) 3. Kozik E. 6. Burda M. 5. Bondarenko V. (C) 9. Tsurikov A. 16. Krasniqi I. 20. Gagnidze N. 99. Rrapaj A. 11. Tretyakov M. 70. Klymchuk Y. 15. Gusol A.
Substitutes
99. Khakhlyov O. 3. Khodulya I. 2. Kononov M. 1. Minchev M. (G) 11. Onishchenko A. 39. Opanasenko Y. 12. Savenkov A. 24. Shapovalov S. 10. Streltsov Y. 96. Yermolov D. (G)	19. Alefirenko D. 8. Chelyadin A. 7. Demchenko O. 47. Denisenko D. 55. Elias 14. Kane I. 10. Krasniqi A. 1. Matsapura D. (G) 27. Oyewusi M. 77. Ponedelnik A. 2. Rukhadze Z. 17. Salabay A.
Coaches
Matviychenko P.	Kostyshyn R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Odaryuk V. ⚽, Veremiyenko O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tretyakov M. ↓, Alefirenko D. ↑,
46', Kozik E. ↓, Ponedelnik A. ↑,
51', Plakhtyr D. 🟨,
56', Klymchuk Y. ↓, Oyewusi M. ↑,
56', Rrapaj A. ↓, Elias ↑,
61', Plakhtyr D. ↓, Khakhlyov O. ↑,
61', Doroshenko A. ↓, Opanasenko Y. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Oyewusi M. ⚽, Ponedelnik A. (A),
70', 2 - 1, Buzhyn M. ⚽, Vivdych O. (A),
77', 2 - 2, Elias (Pen),
78', Marusych M. 🟨,
81', Galenkov D. ↓, Kononov M. ↑,
81', Marusych M. ↓, Shapovalov S. ↑,
82', Gusol A. ↓, Krasniqi A. ↑,
84', Kotsyumaka I. 🟨,
90+4', Vivdych O. ↓, Streltsov Y. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 7).

Poltava has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kolos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kolos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kolos is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Premier League
17.10.25	Poltava - Obolon	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Poltava	4:0 ✺
27.09.25	Oleksandriya - Poltava	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Poltava - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
18.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Poltava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kolos Kovalivka
Ukrainian Premier League
19.10.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Rukh Lviv	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Kharkiv - Kolos Kovalivka	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Kolos Kovalivka - Veres Rivne	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Zorya Luhansk - Kolos Kovalivka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTW

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