Match Info

Date: 26 May 2022, Thursday

Location: Gjemselund Stadion (Kongsvinger)

Referee: Sletner S. (Nor)


	Kongsvinger		Brann

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.57
	5.25	4.2	1.52
	5.75	4.1	1.52
	5.2	4.2	1.52
	5.58	4.74	1.54
	5	4	1.52
	5.35	4.6	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↑ (3.63)	4.31 ↑ (3.25)	1.53 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kongsvinger
17.4%

Draw
21.7%

Brann
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

27.9%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

28.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kongsvinger's form might have worsened.

Brann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brann's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kongsvinger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brann than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.7%	3.4%	94.9%

Kongsvinger - Brann Predictions

Users Predictions: Brann will win (56 of 59 users predict this - 94.92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Recent matches Kongsvinger is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brann in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kongsvinger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brann is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.05.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Kongsvinger	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Lørenskog - Kongsvinger	1:2 ET ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.05.22	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	4:1 ✺
09.05.22	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	2:1 ✺
25.04.22	Kongsvinger - Åsane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLT
- SK Brann
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.05.22	Brann - Fredrikstad	3:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
18.05.22	Voss - Brann	0:7 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.22	Brann - Sandnes Ulf	3:0 ✺
09.05.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Brann	1:5 ✺
23.04.22	Brann - Sogndal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWT

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