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Current Win Probability
Sogndal 22.6%
Draw 19.2%
Kongsvinger 58.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.7%
21.6%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
21.3%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kongsvinger's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kongsvinger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Sogndal - Kongsvinger Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sogndal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jendal L. (G) 32. Oren M. 4. Hovland E. (C) 35. Hillestad E. L. 88. Onyango R. 8. Gausdal L. 7. Woxen H. 10. Skaanes K. 19. Pippola T. 9. Arierhi K. 18. Hagen V.
93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 17. Gjerstrom M. 3. Norheim S. 12. Mbow M. 2. Fors V. 27. Sande M. 23. Christensen F. 8. Dybevik A. (C) 28. Christiansen R. 9. Johnson G. 21. Chaminta A.
Substitutes
20. Asp P. 24. Bieszczad K. (G) 39. Flo E. 3. Flo F. 14. Haruna J. 15. Helen O. 11. Mensah E. 16. Vapne L.
1. Da Rocha W. (G) 25. Elmi S. 18. Flores M. 22. Langrekken L. 15. Lysell V. 5. Lysgard D. 19. Nielsen E. 26. Olawore E. 16. Udnaes P.
Coaches
Bakke E.
Vennberg J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Hovland E. ⚽, Skaanes K. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Johnson G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Johnson G. ↓, Langrekken L. ↑,
56', Chaminta A. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
66', Hagen V. ↓, Vapne L. ↑,
73', Christiansen R. ↓, Udnaes P. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Pippola T. ⚽,
83', Christensen F. ↓, Olawore E. ↑,
83', Fors V. ↓, Elmi S. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Arierhi K. ⚽, Vapne L. (A),
87', Pippola T. ↓, Helen O. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 13th and 2nd in the Promotion - Eliteserien).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 1.
Sogndal is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kongsvinger is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kongsvinger could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Kongsvinger carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Sogndal has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:29 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sogndal against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 23:14 goals (averaging 2.9:1.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Kongsvinger
28
18
5
5
82:45
37
59
12
Sogndal
28
8
6
14
47:61
-14
30
Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now
Kongsvinger: 12.9%
Last Results with these Odds
Kongsvinger - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 51.63%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Norway
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Jendal L. (G) 
Onyango R. 
Pippola T. 
Arierhi K. 
Gorodovoy A. (G) 
Mbow M. 
Fors V. 
Christensen F. 
Johnson G. 
Chaminta A. 
Bieszczad K. (G) 
Haruna J. 
Vapne L. 
Elmi S. 
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