Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 24

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Holthe H. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.75	2.2	Watch
	2.72	3.85	2.25
	2.88	4.01	2.22
	3.03	3.08	2.41	Watch
	2.79	3.8	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.63)	3.7 ↓ (3.78)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sogndal
33.1%

Draw
25.4%

Kongsvinger
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

24.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sogndal - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kongsvinger will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kongsvinger (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sogndal (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sogndal (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kongsvinger (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Saetren D. (G) 2. Bras D. 33. Granheim S. A. 13. Flo P. 8. Flaten J. 6. Hoyland M. 19. Pippola T. 10. Skaanes K. (C) 18. Hagen V. 9. Hintsa O. 7. Pedersen S.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 12. Mbow M. 5. Holme F. 29. Norheim S. 19. Nielsen E. 8. Grundt J. 14. Christensen F. 27. Dybevik A. (C) 9. Haren L. 22. Langrekken L. 23. Vinjor M.
Substitutes
36. Aroy M. 20. Asp P. 39. Flo E. 22. Kalstad A. 34. Kongelf K. 31. Nundal J. 17. Sjolstad M. 38. Sundal A. (G) 16. Vapne L.	28. Christiansen R. 71. Ekerhaugen S. (G) 3. Fjellman P. 13. Flores M. 17. Gjerstrom M. 18. Holtan J. 15. Lysell V. 11. Williams N.
Coaches
Pimenta L.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Nielsen E. 🟨,
42', Vinjor M. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Haren L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Hagen V. ↓, Sjolstad M. ↑,
63', Christensen F. ↓, Gjerstrom M. ↑,
65', Holme F. 🟨,
67', Hoyland M. 🟨,
70', Pippola T. ↓, Vapne L. ↑,
71', Langrekken L. ↓, Holtan J. ↑,
74', Mbow M. 🟨,
75', Granheim S. A. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Vinjor M. ⚽, Haren L. (A),
79', Hoyland M. ↓, Asp P. ↑,
83', Nielsen E. 🟨,
86', Haren L. ↓, Christiansen R. ↑,
86', Vinjor M. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
87', Bras D. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Asp P. ⚽, Sjolstad M. (A),
90+7', 2 - 2, Flo P. ⚽, Vapne L. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 2.

Sogndal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kongsvinger is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sogndal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sogndal won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sogndal won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:12. (average 3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Lyn - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sogndal - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Åsane - Sogndal	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Sogndal - Moss	3:1 ✺
18.08.25	Stabæk - Sogndal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWW
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Kongsvinger - Egersund	2:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
17.09.25	Kongsvinger - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.09.25	Start - Kongsvinger	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Junkeren - Kongsvinger	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
14.06.25	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	4:2
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	3:4 penalties
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.11.24	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	0:1
22.06.24	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	2:0
19.08.23	Sogndal - Kongsvinger	3:3
29.05.23	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	1:0
03.10.22	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	0:0

Upcoming Matches