The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Koninklijke HFC 43.8%
Draw 25.2%
IJsselmeervogels 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.2%
25.4%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
24.9%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Koninklijke HFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
IJsselmeervogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IJsselmeervogels than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Koninklijke HFC - IJsselmeervogels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Michaelis M. (C) 23. de Boer T. 3. Heeremans R. 2. Ploem M. 77. Morgan A. 7. Klomp F. 16. Muller J. 4. Vlak G. 21. Bijen T. 87. Ladan D. 9. Donker N.
20. Kaarsgaren B. (G) 2. van de Groep G. 22. Schuurman J. (C) 3. van der Velden J. 28. Janssen J. 15. Martis B. 14. Ruizendaal J. 26. Campman B. 8. Butter N. 19. Ignacio R. 24. Robertha G.
Substitutes
17. de Wilde L. 27. Girault C. 8. Lahri O. 11. Muns B. 24. Mussche S. 14. Mwenda R. 12. van der Sar J. (G)
9. Beers J. . Doesburg R. 11. Hardijk M. 77. Kuisch G. . Mattheij J. 1. Swaneveld M. (G) 33. Van Bohemen C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Donker N. ⚽, Ladan D. (A),
45+2', Morgan A. ↓, Mussche S. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robertha G. ↓, Kuisch G. ↑,
46', Ruizendaal J. ↓, Hardijk M. ↑,
46', van der Velden J. ↓, Doesburg R. ↑,
64', Donker N. 🟥,
68', Muller J. ↓, Lahri O. ↑,
72', Butter N. ↓, Beers J. ↑,
74', Heeremans R. ↓, Girault C. ↑,
75', Ladan D. ↓, de Wilde L. ↑,
75', Bijen T. ↓, Mwenda R. ↑,
90+8', de Wilde L. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFC won 3.
HFC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
IJsselmeervogels has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
HFC is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, HFC won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, HFC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
IJsselmeervogels
7
4
1
2
10:5
5
13
16
HFC
8
1
3
4
11:16
-5
6
Last Results with these Odds
Koninklijke HFC - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.19%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.