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Current Win Probability
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 35.9%
Draw 24.2%
Koninklijke HFC 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42%
25.2%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
24.5%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Sparta Rotterdam's form might have worsened.
Koninklijke HFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Koninklijke HFC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koninklijke HFC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Koninklijke HFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Kuiper P. (G) 2. Henry A. 4. Borrie T. 3. de Ligt M. 5. Esser J. 8. Oukhattou M. 6. Oetoehganal L. 7. Arcos G. 11. el Meftahi Y. 9. Visser A. 17. Nieuwenhuijs L.
1. Michaelis M. (G) 77. Morgan A. 2. Ploem M. 23. de Boer T. 3. Heeremans R. 87. Ladan D. 15. Kors J. 4. Vlak G. 16. Muller J. 7. Klomp F. 9. Donker N.
Substitutes
16. Bynoe J. 1. Geneugelijk I. (G) . Hanzen D. 19. Hoeve Q. 15. Mulumba G. 18. Sandvliet N. 14. van Zijl O.
21. Bijen T. 17. de Wilde L. 27. Girault C. 11. Muns B. 24. Mussche S. 6. Tros K. 12. van der Sar J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Visser A. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 2 - 0, Arcos G. ⚽, Esser J. (A),
33', Morgan A. 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Donker N. ⚽,
45+2', de Boer T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', de Ligt M. 🟨,
61', Oetoehganal L. ↓, Sandvliet N. ↑,
61', Esser J. ↓, Mulumba G. ↑,
71', Arcos G. ↓, Hoeve Q. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Hoeve Q. ⚽, Oukhattou M. (A),
77', Kors J. ↓, Bijen T. ↑,
77', Klomp F. ↓, de Wilde L. ↑,
82', Vlak G. 🟨,
83', Donker N. ↓, Muns B. ↑,
83', Muller J. ↓, Tros K. ↑,
83', el Meftahi Y. ↓, Hanzen D. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Nieuwenhuijs L. ⚽, Hanzen D. (A),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 2.
Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.
Jong Sparta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong Sparta won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.6:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Sparta won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:9. (average 2.8:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
8
3
3
2
23:15
8
12
16
HFC
8
1
3
4
11:16
-5
6
Last Results with these Odds
Koninklijke HFC - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.71%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.