Match Info

KNVB Beker - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Sportpark De Krom (Katwijk)


	Katwijk		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.2	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.38
	2.72	3.58	2.30	Watch
	2.95	3.71	2.17	Watch
	3.25	3.8	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.73)	3.67 ↓ (3.81)	2.2 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Katwijk
32.5%

Draw
25.3%

Vitesse
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

23.8%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

23.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katwijk's performance.

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitesse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katwijk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Katwijk - Vitesse Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitesse (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Katwijk (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vitesse will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Katwijk (votes: 1 - 50%). Vitesse (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. van Bladeren S. (G) 15. Sinteur B. 21. Bouwense L. (C) 4. Maatsen D. 3. Ravensbergen J. 6. van der Meer R. 5. van der Pluijm Y. 7. Korte G. 22. Brenna M. 16. van Wageningen D. 19. Tahiri M.	16. van den Berg C. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 55. Steffen M. (C) 17. Zumberi V. 5. Bakker J. 6. Schikora M. 19. Tahaui A. 33. Marschalk M. 7. Hoogewerf D. 13. Pinto J. 9. Huth E.
Substitutes
27. Esselink N. 11. Helder J. 18. Kamperveen A. 1. Kesting J. (G) 23. Kooij M. 46. Menelik A. 29. Mengerink M. 10. Suleiman M. 20. van der Meer O. 14. van der Veldt K. 25. Zandbergen V.	35. Achouitar O. 20. Bannis N. 31. Brull M. (G) 28. Buttner A. 30. Driezen M. 8. Moustafa A. 34. Ouallil Y. 11. Ranon Y. 21. Schwarz R. 23. Siecker J. (G) 22. Thenu X. 27. Zonneveld N.
Coaches
Wels K.	Rehm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Tahaui A. ↓, Schwarz R. ↑,
30', van Wageningen D. 🟨,
44', Steffen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marschalk M. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
48', Huth E. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Hoogewerf D. ⚽,
62', Hoogewerf D. 🟨,
65', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
66', Huth E. ↓, Bannis N. ↑,
69', Korte G. ↓, Menelik A. ↑,
70', Sinteur B. 🟨,
72', Bannis N. 🟨,
75', van der Meer R. ↓, Mengerink M. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Brenna M. ⚽,
85', Pinto J. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
86', van der Pluijm Y. ↓, Zandbergen V. ↑,
90+5', Mengerink M. 🟨,
90+6', Mengerink M. (Pen),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
98', Brenna M. ↓, Suleiman M. ↑,
99', Tahiri M. ↓, van der Veldt K. ↑,
103', Bouwense L. 🟨,
105', Bakker J. ↓, Thenu X. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Bannis N. (Pen),
1, Maatsen D. (Pen),
2, Zonneveld N. (Pen),
2, van Wageningen D. (Pen),
3, Schikora M. (Pen),
3, Menelik A. (Pen),
4, Schwarz R. (Pen),
4, Sinteur B. (Pen),
5, Thenu X. (Pen),
5, Suleiman M. (Pen),
6, Ranon Y. (Pen),
6, Ravensbergen J. (Pen),
7, Moustafa A. (Pen),
7, Bouwense L. (Pen),

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Katwijk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vitesse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
25.10.25	Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht	4:3 ✺
18.10.25	Jong Almere City - Katwijk	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Katwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kozakken Boys - Katwijk	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Katwijk - IJsselmeervogels	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLTW
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.10.25	Vitesse - Roda	2:2 ✺
21.10.25	MVV Maastricht - Vitesse	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	FC Eindhoven - Vitesse	0:4 ✺
10.10.25	Almere City - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
06.10.25	Vitesse - Den Bosch	N/A ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWT?

Upcoming Matches