Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Bonifika (Koper)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Slovakia	Sport TV2


	Koper		Viking Stavanger

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.1	1.67	Watch
	3.9	3.6	1.77
	4.5	4	1.68	Watch
	4.71	3.88	1.66
	2.16	3.63	3.03	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.67
	4.91	4.03	1.7	Watch
	3.41	3.41	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.41)	3.81 ↑ (3.41)	1.88 (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koper
23.8%

Draw
25.2%

Viking Stavanger
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

25.2%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koper than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viking Stavanger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	16.7%	72.2%

Koper - Viking Stavanger Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Koper will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Viking will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Viking: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Koper (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Viking (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Viking (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Viking (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Koper (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Viking (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Jurhar M. (G) 69. Negouai B. 15. Mittendorfer M. (C) 22. Celikovic J. 35. Ehibe V. 80. Longonda J. 8. Domgjoni T. 99. Manseri K. 23. Jovanovic S. 10. El Manssouri O. 11. Juric D.	13. Klaesson K. (G) 18. Bjorshol S. 3. Vevatne V. (C) 4. Roseth M. 24. Auklend V. 33. Hansen J. 19. Askildsen K. 14. Alte R. 31. Fuglestad N. 7. Svendsen S. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S.
Substitutes
39. Bohar D. 25. Bonaca T. (G) 9. Juric T. 45. Matondo I. 32. Mijailovic V. 21. Omladic N. 2. Pabai M. 48. Sidibe A. 12. Strasberger T. (G) 6. Tomek F. 24. Zabkar Z.	17. Austbo E. 21. Baertelsen A. 20. Christiansen P. 25. Falchener H. 2. Haugen H. J. 23. Haugen K. 5. Heggheim H. 30. Kinn T. (G) 28. Mikaelsson H. 35. Moi T. 1. Ostbo A. (G) 10. Tripic Z.
Coaches
Stojanovic S.	Jensen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Juric D. (Pen),
10', El Manssouri O. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Svendsen S. ⚽, Fuglestad N. (A),
37', Vevatne V. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Juric D. ⚽, Ehibe V. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Hansen J. ↓, Moi T. ↑,
46', Bjorshol S. ↓, Haugen H. J. ↑,
48', Roseth M. 🟨,
52', 2 - 2, Svendsen S. ⚽,
56', 3 - 2, Manseri K. ⚽, Jovanovic S. (A),
62', Roseth M. ↓, Baertelsen A. ↑,
62', Askildsen K. ↓, Austbo E. ↑,
73', El Manssouri O. ↓, Tomek F. ↑,
75', Fuglestad N. ↓, Tripic Z. ↑,
76', 3 - 3, Austbo E. ⚽, Haugen H. J. (A),
77', Manseri K. ↓, Mijailovic V. ↑,
77', Juric D. ↓, Juric T. ↑,
89', 3 - 4, Austbo E. ⚽, Alte R. (A),
89', Mittendorfer M. 🟨,
90', 3 - 5, Svendsen S. ⚽,
90+3', Domgjoni T. ↓, Sidibe A. ↑,
90+3', Jovanovic S. ↓, Pabai M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-7. 2nd leg.

Koper is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Viking has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Viking may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Viking is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Koper won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Koper
Slovenian PrvaLiga
28.07.25	Koper - Primorje	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Koper	7:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.07.25	Koper - NK Bravo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Koper - Željezničar Sarajevo	3:1 ✺
10.07.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Koper	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWT
- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.07.25	Bryne - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Koper	7:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Bodø Glimt	2:4 ✺
13.07.25	Brann - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
09.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Koper	7:0

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