Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Lyse Arena (Stavanger)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Sport TV2


	Viking Stavanger		Koper

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	10	Watch
	1.33	4.8	7.5	Watch
	1.22	6	11	Watch
	1.21	6.08	11.28
	1.10	10.44	16.54	Watch
	1.36	4.6	8
	1.31	6.13	8.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.67)	6.29 ↑ (3.75)	10.44 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viking Stavanger
75.9%

Draw
15.1%

Koper
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.5%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

25%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viking Stavanger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Viking Stavanger's performance.

Koper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koper might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Viking Stavanger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koper than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koper could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	13.2%	2.6%

Viking Stavanger - Koper Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Viking (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 - Viking (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Koper (6.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Koper (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Viking (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Viking Stavanger will win (32 of 38 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 95.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Viking Stavanger will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Viking (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Koper (votes: 3 - 10.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ostbo A. (G) 5. Heggheim H. 25. Falchener H. 21. Baertelsen A. 24. Auklend V. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S. 8. Bell J. 14. Alte R. 7. Svendsen S. 28. Mikaelsson H. 10. Tripic Z. (C)	31. Jurhar M. (G) 32. Mijailovic V. 15. Mittendorfer M. (C) 48. Sidibe A. 2. Pabai M. 6. Tomek F. 80. Longonda J. 99. Manseri K. 72. Ilicic J. 45. Matondo I. 11. Juric D.
Substitutes
19. Askildsen K. 18. Bjorshol S. 20. Christiansen P. 11. de Lanlay Y. 31. Fuglestad N. 33. Hansen J. 2. Haugen H. J. 23. Haugen K. 30. Kinn T. (G) 35. Moi T. 4. Roseth M. 3. Vevatne V.	39. Bohar D. 25. Bonaca T. (G) 22. Celikovic J. 8. Domgjoni T. 35. Ehibe V. 10. El Manssouri O. 23. Jovanovic S. 69. Negouai B. 21. Omladic N. 12. Strasberger T. (G)
Coaches
Jensen M.	Stojanovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Svendsen S. ⚽, Bell J. (A),
27', Mijailovic V. 🟨,
27', Ilicic J. ↓, Domgjoni T. ↑,
38', Pabai M. 🟨,
2nd Half (6 - 0)
54', Longonda J. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Baertelsen A. ⚽, Bell J. (A),
59', 3 - 0, Svendsen S. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
63', Heggheim H. ↓, Bjorshol S. ↑,
63', Bell J. ↓, Askildsen K. ↑,
65', Alte R. 🟨,
68', 4 - 0, Tripic Z. ⚽, Bjorshol S. (A),
70', Svendsen S. ↓, Fuglestad N. ↑,
70', Tripic Z. ↓, Hansen J. ↑,
71', Matondo I. ↓, Bohar D. ↑,
71', Tomek F. ↓, Omladic N. ↑,
71', Manseri K. ↓, Jovanovic S. ↑,
76', Alte R. ↓, Moi T. ↑,
77', Mittendorfer M. 🟨,
78', 5 - 0, Mikaelsson H. (Pen),
79', Auklend V. 🟨,
81', Longonda J. ↓, El Manssouri O. ↑,
85', 6 - 0, Mikaelsson H. ⚽, Kvia-Egeskog S. (A),
90+3', 7 - 0, Bjorshol S. ⚽, Auklend V. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Viking has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Koper has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Viking may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Viking is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Bodø Glimt	2:4 ✺
13.07.25	Brann - Viking Stavanger	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
09.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Viking Stavanger	1:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
05.07.25	Viking Stavanger - Strømsgodset	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Rosenborg - Viking Stavanger	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- FC Koper
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.07.25	Koper - NK Bravo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
17.07.25	Koper - Željezničar Sarajevo	3:1 ✺
10.07.25	Željezničar Sarajevo - Koper	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.25	Čukarički - Koper	1:0 ✺
26.06.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Koper	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWTLL

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