Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 19

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Korofina		USFAS Bamako

	1	X	2
	2.88	2.72	2.52	Watch
	3.02	2.63	2.67	Watch
	2.91	2.64	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.75)	2.66 ↓ (2.85)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korofina
30.9%

Draw
34%

USFAS Bamako
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

31.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

31.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korofina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

USFAS Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korofina than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for USFAS Bamako aligns with the current prediction.

Korofina - USFAS Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korofina won 0.

Korofina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, USFAS has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Korofina won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Korofina won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	10	42
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Korofina
Malian Première Division
16.04.26	Mali Coura - Korofina	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Korofina - Stade Malien	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Korofina - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Djoliba - Korofina	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Onze Créateurs - Korofina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT
- USFAS Bamako
Malian Première Division
15.04.26	USFAS Bamako - Real Bamako	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Diarra - USFAS Bamako	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	USFAS Bamako - Binga	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako	3:2 ✺
02.03.26	USFAS Bamako - Derby Académie	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
28.12.25	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	1:1
03.06.25	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	3:0
07.02.25	Korofina - USFAS Bamako	0:0
22.05.24	Korofina - USFAS Bamako	2:2
21.01.24	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	2:1
02.07.23	USFAS Bamako - Korofina	0:0
05.04.23	Korofina - USFAS Bamako	0:0

Korofina - USFAS Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide