Match Info
Premiere Division - Round 17Date: 4 April 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | FIFA+ |
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Diarra |
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USFAS Bamako |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.72 |
2.58 |
2.82 |
 Watch |
 |
2.79 |
2.46 |
2.89 |
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 |
2.85 |
2.52 |
2.94 |
Watch |
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2.7 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
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2.58 |
2.9 |
2.96 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.28) |
2.59 ↓
(2.89) |
2.88 ↓
(3.31) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Diarra
33.3% | Draw
35.1% | USFAS Bamako
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diarra's form might have worsened.USFAS Bamako has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diarra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for USFAS Bamako than the current prediction. (-5%)Diarra - USFAS Bamako Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).Diarra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).USFAS has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).USFAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Diarra has had a series of away games. Diarra will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Diarra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Diarra | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 44 |
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| 6 | USFAS Bamako | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Malian Première Division | | | 13.12.25 | USFAS Bamako - Diarra | 2:1 | | 10.05.25 | USFAS Bamako - Diarra | 1:1 | | 15.01.25 | Diarra - USFAS Bamako | 0:2 |
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