Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Korona Kielce 2		Podlasie Biała Podlaska

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.50	2.60
	2.28	3.35	2.55
	2.3	3.36	2.64
	2.24	3.59	2.72	Watch
	2.27	3.29	2.63
	2.22	3.71	2.78	Watch
	2.3	3.41	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.3)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)	2.63 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
39.8%

Draw
26%

Podlasie Biała Podlaska
34.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

24.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Podlasie Biała Podlaska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podlasie Biała Podlaska than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Sarudi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Sarudi S. ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, Wyrozumski D. ⚽,
87', 4 - 0, Wyrozumski D. ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14th and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 0.

In recent outings, Korona 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Biała Podlaska is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Korona 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Korona 2 has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:14 (averaging 2.3:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Korona 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 17:9 goals (averaging 3.4:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Korona Kielce II	14	4	2	8	28:33	-5	14
16	Biala Podlaska	14	3	4	7	11:20	-9	13

Last Results with these Odds

Podlasie Biała Podlaska - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 35.55%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Wieczysta II	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Korona Kielce 2	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Korona Kielce 2	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLTL
- Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.10.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Star Starachowice	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Chełmianka Chełm - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wieczysta II	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Wisłoka Dębica - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.11.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Korona Kielce 2	1:1
09.08.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:2
08.03.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:3
25.03.23	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	1:2
20.08.22	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Korona Kielce 2	1:1
24.04.21	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Korona Kielce 2	3:0
12.09.20	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	8:0

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