Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Korona Kielce 2		Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	2.87
	1.88	3.60	3.20
	1.98	3.68	2.98
	2	3.76	3.05	Watch
	1.96	3.60	2.95
	2.07	4.04	2.85	Watch
	1.89	3.61	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.89)	3.7 ↑ (3.61)	3 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
45.7%

Draw
24.3%

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.5%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Korona Kielce 2 - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Matuszewski T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Korona 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kolbuszowa Dolna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kolbuszowa Dolna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Korona 2 has had a series of home games.

Korona 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Kolbuszowa Dolna	11	2	7	2	12:12	0	13
14	Korona Kielce II	11	3	2	6	23:27	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.09.26	JKS Jarosław - Korona Kielce 2	6:2 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Radomiak Radom	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Busko-Zdrój	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Czarni Połaniec	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Hetman Zamość	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT
- Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.09.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Star Starachowice	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Wieczysta II - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Wisłoka Dębica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
23.11.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	5:0
01.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Korona Kielce 2	3:1

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