Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 28

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Korona Kielce 2		Sandecja Nowy Sącz

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.77
	3.55	3.9	1.77
	3.69	3.92	1.78	Watch
	3.88	3.75	1.74	Watch
	3.55	3.9	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.67)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)	1.77 (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
25%

Draw
23.7%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.2%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Korona Kielce 2 - Sandecja Nowy Sącz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Turek K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 1, Pietraszkiewicz D. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Korona 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sandecja is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Korona 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sandecja might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Korona 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.04.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Korona Kielce 2 - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Korona Kielce 2	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Wiązownica	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Lewart Lubartów - Korona Kielce 2	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWTW
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
26.04.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podhale Nowy Targ	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Świdniczanka Świdnik	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Wiązownica - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.10.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Korona Kielce 2	3:1

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