Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Svealand - Round 13

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday


	Korsnäs		Österåker United

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.75	3.5
	1.58	4.09	4.12
				Watch
	1.54	4.3	4.6
	1.75	3.64	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	3.95 ↓ (4.05)	3.88 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korsnäs
54.1%

Draw
22.8%

Österåker United
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

22.5%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

21.3%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korsnäs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Österåker United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korsnäs than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Korsnäs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Österåker United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Korsnäs - Österåker United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norra Svealand (Relegation) and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Korsnäs is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Österåker United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Korsnäs is considered a favorite.

We predict that Korsnäs will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Korsnäs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:10. (average 0:5).

Including home match between the teams, Korsnäs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korsnäs IF FK
Svenska Cupen
18.06.25	Korsnäs - Gefle	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
14.06.25	Sunnersta AIF - Korsnäs	4:1 ✺
06.06.25	Korsnäs - Ytterhogdal	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Kungsängen - Korsnäs	1:2 ✺
24.05.25	Korsnäs - Täby	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.1 WLWWW
- Österåker United FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
15.06.25	Österåker United - Täby	0:4 ✺
08.06.25	Gute - Österåker United	4:2 ✺
31.05.25	Österåker United - Viggbyholm	2:3 ✺
25.05.25	Bollstanäs - Österåker United	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Ytterhogdal - Österåker United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Svealand
14.08.22	Korsnäs - Österåker United	0:5
24.04.22	Österåker United - Korsnäs	5:0

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