Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Netherlands	Sporza


	Kortrijk		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	2	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.5	3.5	2.02	Watch
	3.51	3.66	2.08
	3.47	3.65	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.6	2.15
	3.51	3.63	2.06	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.03)	3.61 ↓ (3.67)	2.05 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
27.6%

Draw
26.3%

KV Mechelen
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.7%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.1%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	11.8%	70.6%

Kortrijk - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Kortrijk will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Mechelen will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vandenberghe T. (G) 24. Fujii H. 44. Silva J. (C) 26. Lagae B. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 23. Takamine T. 10. Kadri A. 16. Dejaegere B. 11. De Neve D. 19. Nacho 45. Messaoudi B.	1. De Wolf O. (G) 4. Raemaekers T. 6. Touba A. 3. Marsa J. 77. Pflucke P. 32. Ouattara A. 16. Schoofs R. (C) 23. Foulon D. 19. Mrabti K. 20. Lauberbach L. 11. Storm N.
Substitutes
2. Alebiosu R. 68. Ambrose T. 17. Bruno M. 7. El Idrissy M. 14. Fossum I. 31. Gunnarsson P. (G) 35. Huygevelde N. 30. Kaneko T. 27. Sissako A.	33. Baert L. 35. Bafdili B. 17. Belghali R. 10. Dahl P. 7. Hairemans G. 9. Ngoy J. 14. Raman B. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 5. Walsh S.
Coaches
Alexandersson F.	Hasi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, De Neve D. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Nacho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pflucke P. ↓, Belghali R. ↑,
46', Storm N. ↓, Hairemans G. ↑,
51', Lagae B. 🟨,
63', Ouattara A. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
67', Dejaegere B. ↓, Sissako A. ↑,
71', Marsa J. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
76', Raman B. 🟨,
77', Messaoudi B. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
77', Lauberbach L. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
80', Foulon D. 🟨,
89', 3 - 0, Nacho ⚽, Sissako A. (A),
90+2', Takamine T. ↓, Bruno M. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Raman B. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 0.

Recent matches Kortrijk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mechelen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mechelen will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Mechelen: Falchou R. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Kortrijk: Gunnarsson P. (Leg Injury) Mampassi M. (Injury) Pirard L. (Injury) Simic R. (Knock)

There are questionable in Mechelen: Antonio B. (Knee Injury) Konate M. (Knee Injury) Van den Eynden B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 20:39 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kortrijk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:20 (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.11.24	Westerlo - Kortrijk	4:0 ✺
09.11.24	Kortrijk - Royal Antwerp	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Anderlecht - Kortrijk	4:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	Kortrijk - Lokeren	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.10.24	Kortrijk - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.11.24	KV Mechelen - Beerschot Wilrijk	3:0 ✺
08.11.24	Sint-Truidense - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.24	KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière	3:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.24	Dender EH - KV Mechelen	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.10.24	KV Mechelen - Kortrijk	3:0
24.02.24	KV Mechelen - Kortrijk	3:0
26.11.23	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	0:3
21.01.23	KV Mechelen - Kortrijk	3:2
Belgian Cup
11.01.23	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	0:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.09.22	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	1:4
Club Friendly
25.06.22	Kortrijk - KV Mechelen	3:1

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