Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 4

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Guldensporen Stadion (Kortrijk)

Referee: Put B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sport 1+
Netherlands	Sporza


	Kortrijk		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.9
	2.35	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.4	3.42	3.04
	2.37	3.36	3.03	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.5
	2.36	3.51	2.96	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.84)	3.4 ↑ (3.23)	2.9 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kortrijk
39.4%

Draw
27.9%

Standard Liège
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

29.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kortrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kortrijk's performance.

Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	20%	45%

Kortrijk - Standard Liège Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Kortrijk will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Standard will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gunnarsson P. (G) 26. Lagae B. 44. Silva J. (C) 24. Fujii H. 7. El Idrissy M. 10. Kadri A. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 11. De Neve D. 30. Kaneko T. 17. Bruno M. 19. Nacho	40. Epolo M. (G) 13. Fossey M. 4. Sutalo B. 44. Bates D. 25. Hautekiet I. 88. Lawrence H. 8. Price I. 7. Bulat M. 24. O'Neill A. 32. Kuavita L. 21. Benjdida S.
Substitutes
2. Alebiosu R. 68. Ambrose T. 22. Decoene M. 14. Fossum I. 35. Huygevelde N. 15. Malinov K. 45. Messaoudi B. 95. Pirard L. (G) 23. Takamine T.	6. Alexandropoulos S. 27. Banse S. 5. Bolingoli B. 54. Calut A. 17. Camara I. 10. Djukanovic V. 45. Godfroid M. (G) 11. Kyei G. 3. Ngoy N.
Coaches
Alexandersson F.	Leko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Lawrence H. 🟥,
38', Benjdida S. ↓, Bolingoli B. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', El Idrissy M. ↓, Ambrose T. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Ambrose T. ⚽,
69', Hautekiet I. 🟨,
75', Hautekiet I. ↓, Ngoy N. ↑,
75', Bolingoli B. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
75', Kuavita L. ↓, Kyei G. ↑,
77', Kaneko T. 🟨,
80', Kaneko T. ↓, Alebiosu R. ↑,
81', Bruno M. ↓, Takamine T. ↑,
84', Sutalo B. ↓, Djukanovic V. ↑,
89', Kadri A. ↓, Messaoudi B. ↑,
90', Nacho ↓, Fossum I. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 2.

Kortrijk is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Standard is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Kortrijk have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Kortrijk: Afolabi J. (Knock) Dewaele G. (Knee Injury) Seck D. (Knee Injury) Sissako A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Standard: Doumbia S. (Muscle Injury) Henkinet L. (Knee Injury) Sahabo H. (Knee Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kortrijk won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Kortrijk won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.08.24	Dender EH - Kortrijk	4:1 ✺
04.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Kortrijk - Gent	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Cardiff City - Kortrijk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLL
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.08.24	Standard Liège - KV Mechelen	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Standard Liège - Club Brugge	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Genk - Standard Liège	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Standard Liège - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	NEC Nijmegen - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
20.01.24	Standard Liège - Kortrijk	0:1
26.08.23	Kortrijk - Standard Liège	1:1
12.02.23	Standard Liège - Kortrijk	0:2
28.08.22	Kortrijk - Standard Liège	0:1
20.03.22	Kortrijk - Standard Liège	0:1
30.10.21	Standard Liège - Kortrijk	1:1
Belgian Cup
09.02.21	Kortrijk - Standard Liège	1:2 penalties

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