Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 3

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Dender Football Complex (Denderleeuw)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Belgium, DAZN Eleven Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Netherlands	Sporza


	Dender EH		Kortrijk

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.82
	2.05	3.57	3.56	Watch
	2.04	3.65	3.55	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.52)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)	3.55 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dender EH
46.3%

Draw
26.9%

Kortrijk
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

27.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.4%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dender EH's performance.

Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kortrijk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dender EH that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kortrijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Dender EH - Kortrijk Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Kortrijk will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dender EH: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Verrips M. (G) 20. Hrncar D. 22. Ruyssen G. 21. Cools K. 3. Pupe J. 88. Ferraro F. 10. Hens L. (C) 18. Rodes N. 16. Kvet R. 98. Soladio J. 77. Nsimba B.	31. Gunnarsson P. (G) 2. Alebiosu R. 4. Mampassi M. 44. Silva J. (C) 24. Fujii H. 11. De Neve D. 30. Kaneko T. 23. Takamine T. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 10. Kadri A. 19. Nacho
Substitutes
23. Acquah D. 19. Akman A. 90. Berte M. 30. Dietsch G. (G) 4. Goncalves B. 6. Masangu K. 7. M'barki R. 11. Scheidler A. 24. Viltard M.	68. Ambrose T. 17. Bruno M. 7. El Idrissy M. 14. Fossum I. 35. Huygevelde N. 26. Lagae B. 15. Malinov K. 45. Messaoudi B. 98. Pirard L. (G)
Coaches
Euvrard V.	Alexandersson F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Kvet R. ⚽, Pupe J. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Nsimba B. ⚽, Hrncar D. (A),
39', 2 - 1, Kaneko T. ⚽, Kadri A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Kadri A. ↓, Ambrose T. ↑,
58', Kaneko T. ↓, Bruno M. ↑,
61', Mampassi M. 🟨,
65', Hens L. ↓, Acquah D. ↑,
65', Kvet R. ↓, Viltard M. ↑,
65', Soladio J. ↓, Berte M. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Berte M. ⚽,
68', De Neve D. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
68', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Fossum I. ↑,
79', Mampassi M. 🟨,
80', El Idrissy M. 🟨,
80', Nacho ↓, Messaoudi B. ↑,
83', Ferraro F. ↓, Goncalves B. ↑,
83', Nsimba B. ↓, Scheidler A. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Berte M. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Dender EH is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kortrijk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Kortrijk have a series of guest games.

Dender EH will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Dender EH: Lallemand M. (Broken ankle)

There will not play in Kortrijk: Afolabi J. (Injury) Dewaele G. (Injury) Seck D. (Injury) Sissako A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dender EH: Van Oudenhove J. (Muscle Injury) Yahaya A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dender EH won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dender EH won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.08.24	Gent - Dender EH	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Dender EH - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Dender EH - RAAL La Louvière	0:3 ✺
13.07.24	Heracles Almelo - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
10.07.24	Groningen - Dender EH	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 WTLTT
- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.08.24	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Kortrijk - Gent	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Cardiff City - Kortrijk	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Lens - Kortrijk	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
01.11.23	Dender EH - Kortrijk	1:2 penalties

Upcoming Matches